The newly landscaped Dulwich Square

[Earl Aelfheah]

This is just noise. You have provided no evidence of your claim that the filter on calton avenue (introduced more than 5 years ago) increased crime, road danger, or pollution. It’s not true. You’re spreading fear and misinformation.

[Rockets]

I have been very clear and specific about what I have said. You try to manipulate that for your own benefit - it's what you do. I have shared more than enough data to back up the claims I have made - some of which you linked to but then tried to discredit.

As I say, time will prove I am right with my summation of what is happening with certain types of crime in Dulwich Village. Mark my words....;-)

[Earl Aelfheah]

You have provided no data to back up your claims. A rise in phone thefts in Dulwich Village does not tell you anything about the filter introduced 5 years ago. As already stated, phone thefts have risen (at an even faster rate) across most of London.

In Dulwich Village 'all crime', violent crime and burglary have fallen and average earning have increased since the filter was introduced. Applying your logic this is proof the filter has made people safer and wealthier. Which would be just as spurious a claim.

You’re being massively dishonest.

Edited 4 hours ago by Earl Aelfheah

[DulvilleRes]

51 minutes ago, Rockets said:

As with so much of this stuff you can say what you want but, over time, the real story will come out and I suspect that like so many examples in the past we will be right and you will be wrong!

Who is 'we' Rockets? I thought you were on a one person crusade detached from any political party or lobby group. 

[Earl Aelfheah]

18 hours ago, Rockets said:

not sure I ever mentioned car crime did I?

You've thrown so much unsubstantiated nonsense at the wall, you can't even keep track of it yourself

On 08/07/2025 at 13:16, Rockets said:

the road closures have led to an increase in crime, in particular phone thefts, vehicle thefts, thefts from vehicles and crash scams

Edited 6 hours ago by Earl Aelfheah

[Rockets]

2 hours ago, DulvilleRes said:

Who is 'we' Rockets? I thought you were on a one person crusade detached from any political party or lobby group. 

Ah at it again @DulvilleRes......

 

1 hour ago, Earl Aelfheah said:

ou've thrown so much unsubstantiated nonsense at the wall, you can't even keep track of it yourself

On 08/07/2025 at 13:16, Rockets said:

the road closures have led to an increase in crime, in particular phone thefts, vehicle thefts, thefts from vehicles and crash scams

Edited 1 hour ago by Earl Aelfheah

But was that discussion back in July not based on the numbers from police tracking of crimes over the last three years? I think you're losing track of the conversation rather than me...

3 hours ago, Earl Aelfheah said:

You have provided no data to back up your claims.

Except the Met police published data over the last 3 years for Dulwich Village, the StreetScan information and the recent powerpoint from the Dulwich Village Ward Met Police meeting....how much data do you require exactly....;-)

[Earl Aelfheah]

Rockets has made several false and misleading claims concerning the road filter on Calton Avenue.

On crime:

On 08/07/2025 at 13:16, Rockets said:

the road closures have led to an increase in crime, in particular phone thefts, vehicle thefts, thefts from vehicles and crash scams.

Since the filter was introduced ‘all crime’ has fallen. 

Between 2015-2018, before the filter was introduced, there was a significant increase in robbery in Dulwich, way above current levels and the London average. Since the filter was introduced it has fallen back in line with background trends.

The data on violent crime is even more stark - falling in absolute terms and massively against background trends.

Both robbery and violent crime are lower now than ‘pre-filter’.

'Theft from the person' has trended down significantly against the London average since 2021.

In short, whatever crimes may be currently seeing an uptick across Dulwich and London generally, there is no evidence at all of even a correlation between them and the introduction of the filter (let alone the laughable leap Rockets is making to some sort of causation).

On pedestrian safety and road danger:

On 13/12/2024 at 18:30, Rockets said:

I would argue with you that for pedestrians that junction is now more dangerous than it was when it was open to cars.

Crash data shows that collisions and injuries are down around the junction. Not at all surprising as heavy, fast moving vehicles have been removed.

On pollution:

On 09/03/2024 at 00:22, Rockets said:

LTNs make congestion and pollution worse and will go down in history as one of mankinds most bluntest instrument and stupid idea.

Road side pollution monitoring across the Dulwich area has shown massive and sustained decreases in pollution (specifically NO2).

There is no evidence showing that the filter has had any of the negative consequences Rockets claims. What's worse is that I don't suppose he actually believes that the filter has made crime worse, or increased road danger, or increased pollution.

[Rockets]

Ah @Earl Aelfheah resorting to taking certain quotes out of context again...what a surprise....creatures of habit and all that.

Perhaps you would be so kind as posting the rest of the quote and context from Dec 2024 in relation to when I was arguing  about the junction being more dangerous for pedestrians now?

I still stand by my comment about LTNs making congestion and pollution worse.

And on crime I post the below again. The London trend is a red-herring as you can see that Calton has never previously followed the London trend until, mysteriously, around 2021......right now theft from person across the whole of Dulwich is massively outpacing our neighbouring wards and, if the news about Sadiq Khan saying theft from person was trending at 13% down year on year for the same period as the charts below across London https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c62nqvzzq79o, it is now significantly above the London trend. 

[Earl Aelfheah]

How on earth do you think those charts show the filter on Calton Avenue has increased crime? Are you actually serious?

Absolutely embarrassing 

2 hours ago, Rockets said:

I still stand by my comment about LTNs making congestion and pollution worse.

You’re disputing the local air quality monitoring data?

[Rockets]

37 minutes ago, Earl Aelfheah said:

How on earth do you think those charts show the filter on Calton Avenue has increased crime? Are you actually serious?

Absolutely embarrassing 

Other opinions may exist.....

37 minutes ago, Earl Aelfheah said:

You’re disputing the local air quality monitoring data?

Yes. Well the role that LTN's have played in them.

[Earl Aelfheah]

Between 2020 and 2024 (for SE21 7DE), all crime fell

• Antisocial behaviour fell
• Burglary fell
• Criminal damage and arson fell
• Vehicle crime fell
• Violence and sexual offences fell
• Bicycle theft fell
• Drugs crime fell

Of course, none of this can be said to be the result of the filter; It’s correlation not causation.

But explain why:

1. You’ve ignored all crime as well as most individual crime categories, and cherry picked the one (basically mobile phone theft) that has increased?
2. Why you dismiss the steep changes in mobile phone theft across the whole of London taking place over the same period
3. You've inferred that the cause of mobile phone theft in Dulwich Village (and presumably Dulwich village alone) is caused by a road filter on Calton Avenue... How do you explain the rises in mobile phone theft outside of Dulwich, if the cause is a road filter?

The truth is, that you originally made generalised claims about rising crime, not even attempting to look at any crime data. You picked out that one crime category of (effectively) mobile phone theft having been directed to the data and having searched it for anything that might show an increase in any form of crime, whilst ignoring all others. It's your classic and repeated pattern of confirmation bias.

It’s very clear that you are not interested in what's actually going on, just in tyring to ‘prove’ that the filter has caused a problem, where there is no evidence of it at all. Those graphs don't remotely back up your claims as you well know.

Of course, you don’t care whether it’s true, or whether it causes distress, or anxiety to people living locally. You are just looking to justify your obsessive grievance over a 5 year old change to a road layout and some landscaping of a pedestrian area.

Edited 45 minutes ago by Earl Aelfheah

[Rockets]

What are you talking about @Earl Aelfheah - not all crime fell.

 

 

25 minutes ago, Earl Aelfheah said:

Why you dismiss the steep changes in mobile phone theft across the whole of London taking place over the same period

Because Calton Avenue has never followed the London trend for London-wide theft from person - until 2021. Look at the chart. 

25 minutes ago, Earl Aelfheah said:

You picked out that one crime category of (effectively) mobile phone theft having been directed to the data and having searched it for anything that might show an increase in any form of crime, whilst ignoring all others. It's your classic and repeated pattern of confirmation bias.

Nonsense. From day one I have been looking at those crimes most likely to increase with quieter streets. I have explained this to you numerous times before - you're just not listening.

25 minutes ago, Earl Aelfheah said:

Of course, you don’t care whether it’s true, or whether it causes distress, or anxiety to people living locally.

Trust me, I am echoing the concerns of many of my neighbours who live in the area. People are concerned and are talking about it and local street What's App groups are full of concerned residents reporting crimes taking place in the area. Police are knocking on doors telling residents how to protect themselves from crime and distributing leaflets (and of course a PCSO was saying that some crime has increased since the LTNs went in).

 

So please, don't try to tell me how people in the area are feeling because I actually live in the area.

Edited 27 minutes ago by Rockets