exdulwicher
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Everything posted by exdulwicher
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You mean the local community that specifically voted for the two Labour councillors behind the LTN and rejected the two Tory candidates standing on a "we will rip out all the LTNs" manifesto? The "groups" across London are the same shouty minority - it's amazing how the same individuals crop up in pics and online, a tiny group of obsessives who've been banging the same drum for 5 years, in spite of having lost numerous legal challenges and at every local election. Credit to them though for managing to place a near constant string of stories in the Times and Telegraph. Suppose it gives them something to do when they're not frantically trying to rig the results of every consultation going... https://moderngov.lambeth.gov.uk/documents/s161579/ODDR Proposed West Dulwich CPZ - Results of Statutory Consultation.pdf See page 11 of this. If you can't be bothered to click and scroll through, the basics are here (my highlighting): CONSULTATION AND CO-PRODUCTION West Dulwich CPZ - results of Statutory Consultation 5.1 By the closing date of Friday 20 September 2024, a total of 10,972 representations had been received via the online engagement portal in response to the CPZ consultation. 5.2 Given that a statutory consultation such as this is open to anyone interested in those advertised proposals, Lambeth’s online engagement portal accepts multiple representations from individuals and organisations and also different individuals living within the same property address. 5.3 On closer inspection officers discovered that, during the week prior to the close of the statutory consultation, two separate individuals had submitted multiple identical responses connected to addresses from a particular street within the proposed CPZ boundary. A detailed review suggested that these multiple responses may have constituted a deliberate act to skew the results of the statutory consultation, and as a consequence, this data has been ‘cleaned’ to remove the ‘duplicate’ responses, leaving just one unique representation from each of these two respondents. The same thing was found in most of the LTN consultations, Lambeth got rid of about a third of the responses which had all originated over the course of 2 solid days from the same 2 or 3 IP addresses. Fascinating how people who bang on endlessly about democracy are so keen to try and subvert it....
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I would hope that wherever there is an issue with lawbreaking, be that shoplifting, robbery, vandalism, the police would raise their game and have a crackdown. Obviously there comes an issue of resourcing, cost-effectiveness etc and it's notable that whenever the police start pulling over motorists for the same offences like red light jumping, speeding etc, there's a whole raft of comments like "why don't you go and catch some real criminals" and "oh so you go after the easy targets like a motorist inadvertently doing 5mph over the speed limit but can't be bothered to turn up to a burglary"... Which again is an interesting insight into how some road crime gets a free pass...
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So they can be publicly vilified in advance of being hung, drawn and quartered. Dulwich Square is going to have a gibbet and gallows installed next month. Southwark Council will be selling tickets to raise revenue. The miscreants' bikes will be auctioned off, also to raise council funds. The conspiracy continues.
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Yes! Same as the police deal with the million or so unlicenced / uninsured / untaxed drivers. Same way the police catch dangerous vehicles, burglars, shoplifters... I'd absolutely be up for any increase in policing. If it means a few cyclists are caught, have their illegal e-bikes / e-scooters confiscated and crushed, go for it. As an added bonus, while they're out and about, they could maybe deal with some of the countless mobile phone / speeding / drink driving offences. Maybe they'd catch a shoplifter running out of M&S as well. More policing is 100% OK by me. If some scrote on a private e-scooter is rugby-tackled to the ground and has their scooter taken away, I'd be there cheering.
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It;s interesting from a wider perspective though. Calling for cycle licencing / registration plates etc for example. That idea is insane. It's been shown, time and time again to be insane. No other country does it. I posted a link with various reasons why which I'll put here again: https://cyclingfallacies.com/en/33/cycling-should-require-a-licence-and-registration There are numerous other articles about it, it's been raised repeatedly by various politicians and Governments of both colours have repeatedly explained why it won't happen: https://www.cycleassociation.uk/news/?id=3742 So the "argument" (such as it is) is bonkers on many many levels. But, in spite of being faced with all manner of evidence as to why it's bonkers, it's been repeated numerous times. It's a classic argument against all these requests for more data, more info, more research, we want the raw data, we want more consultation... The cycle registration thing is pretty straightforward, there is no logical case for it whatsoever. There's no nuance in it, no "well, some of it might be a good idea..." It's flat out wrong. At this stage, the only way anyone advancing a case for cycle registration could be more wrong is to go off and start a thread claiming the Earth is flat. No amount of data and info will ever appease this sort of person. So actually, yes, the simple answer is to say "you are not interested in any form of good faith discussion, you're ignoring every piece of evidence placed in front of you". That's not a personal insult. It's a simple statement of fact.
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See my link above. And cyclist are not "above the law". I mean, pedestrians aren't registered and licenced yet a pedestrian can still be stopped and questioned by police if they suspect that person of being guilty of a crime. I've seen the police up in town pull cyclists over for running red lights. They were able to do that in spite of the cyclist not having a number plate. I saw the police stop two burglars once too, in spite of them having done everything possible to hide their identity! Incredible stuff really.
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Here you go: https://cyclingfallacies.com/en/33/cycling-should-require-a-licence-and-registration No-one (other than maybe North Korea I think...?) requires cyclists to be licensed / registered. It's a total waste of time and effort to even try it and yet it pops up with monotonous regularity, often when some clueless politician desperate for a moment in the limelight comes up with this genius plan and is then shot down in flames. It's a useful "dead cat" thing though, it can often be used to hide any manner of political indiscretions because it invariably results in a week of radio phone ins and opinion column inches.
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Because an e-bike (and by this I mean the correct use of the term in law, the legal Electrically Assisted Pedal Cycle (EAPC) with a motor that only works when pedalling, that provides <250W average power and that cuts out at 15.5mph / 25kph) is regarded in law as identical to a bicycle. So that includes Lime bikes, the e-cargo bikes you see kids being carried on etc. What it does not include is stuff like electric motorcycles, bikes that have been modified with the addition of a motor and throttle, bikes that can be powered to more than 25kph etc which are - in law - not "e-bikes" at all, they're electric mopeds, electric motorcycles or adapted cycles. They already need licencing. You can ride an electric motorbike but it needs to be registered, licenced and the driver / rider (whatever you want to call them) needs a driving licence and insurance. If they don't have that, it's already illegal and the powers already exist to deal with that, it's just it's very rarely enforced. I wish it was enforced! Problem is that if it was, there'd be an awful lot of people complaining to Deliveroo that their food hadn't turned up... Part of the problem is that literally anything on 2 wheels with a motor is referred to as an e-bike, often wrongly. It's a bit like calling every vehicle on the road a bus.
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I was going to suggest line dancing but Rockets might cross the line when turning left so that's out...
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I've got visions of this... Which one is Rockets?
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CPZ in Dulwich Village ward to go live on January 6
exdulwicher replied to Glemham's topic in Roads & Transport
Page 6. The definition of Suburban / Urban / Central, each split into 3 sub-tiers of Habitable Rooms per Unit (a unit being a house, block of flats, apartments etc) per Hectare. As I mentioned previously, the original use was as a planning tool to aid in calculating the number of parking spaces that should be provided in new developments which is why housing density is a part of it. Have a read of Page 10 which explains some of the limitations of PTAL as well. -
CPZ in Dulwich Village ward to go live on January 6
exdulwicher replied to Glemham's topic in Roads & Transport
It was on the cards for YEARS - originally proposed as part of a Healthy Streets plan (I think), that then got swallowed by Covid and redesigned as part of the Covid / active travel stuff. It was proposed because nothing else will ever make that junction work. The council had tinkered with it for years, they tried to to re-prioritise bits of it, I'm sure at one point there was a yellow box junction within it, there were corresponding measure like speed humps on Court Lane, banning the school coaches from using it, closing off the old cut through around the back via Gilkes Crescent (which was done WAY back, basically making Gilkes one long LTN, before "LTN" was a term) Nothing worked, it remained a congested and dangerous junction. There were also the plans for a network of Quietway cycle routes (this also going way back) and in fact it was branded as such, the laughable bit being that while Turney Road was OK and Calton up to Greendale was OK, the bit through the village was chaos, far from what TfL were proposing as "Quietways". Basically, the work done has mitigated all the issues in one go. Its not perfect but then no road scheme ever is. CPZ is a complementary measure to the other parts. Like treating an illness - you don't "just" have surgery, you have a range of treatments that work together. Surgery on it's own is not as effective as surgery plus chemotherapy for example. And, as has been studied and reported on numerous times, the best ways of reducing car use, congestion, road danger etc are Congestion Charging, limited traffic interventions (such as LTNs but can also included School Streets, cul-de-sacs etc) and parking controls. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/apr/16/12-most-effective-ways-cars-cities-europe And by the way, the consultation was not "should we do a CPZ? Yes/No", it was "we are doing a CPZ, what roads do you think it should cover and what times would you prefer?" -
CPZ in Dulwich Village ward to go live on January 6
exdulwicher replied to Glemham's topic in Roads & Transport
I love how you try to use PTAL. 🙄 It was originally a planning tool, actually to help developers work out car park spaces. It's a very basic system and while it's still useful for "at a glance" stuff, it's long been superseded by accessibility matrices and spatial heatmap tools. PTAL calculates walking distance from bus and train (inc tube, DLR etc) stops assuming: an average walking speed of 80m / min that people are willing to walk up to 8 min for a bus and 12 mins for a train so distances of 640m and 960m respectively. It does take into account service level (so a bus every 10 mins is better than one every 15 mins) but it doesn't take into account the destination. Therefore, as pointed out, an area like Dulwich made up of large open spaces like the Park, school playing fields etc will NEVER have a "good" PTAL score. So you could improve PTAL by building over all of that then running some roads (and bus stops) through it. Or... You know what does improve PTAL? Making it easier to walk (and cycle, although that's not explicitly calculated by PTAL). If you have to cross 3 busy roads, each with a wait of 3 minutes before the green man, that's a serious limitation on PTAL, people are less likely to walk. If you can create a direct walking route - maybe by, oh I dunno, removing the traffic from Dulwich Square say - you can eliminate the wait and effectively shorten the walking time. This works for cycling too (although as I say, it's not specifically included in the calculation) but if you can make it easy to cycle (minimising through traffic, more cycle routes, e-bike/e-scooter hire...) then it's easy to pick a bike up and ride a distance that would be annoyingly far to walk, like to HH or West Dulwich stations or to bus stops on the South Circular. Decent active travel infrastructure widens the catchment area for public transport by up to 10x therefore dramatically increasing PTAL And by the way, "poor" PTAL does not mean poor public transport. It's a comparison tool and PTAL of 5, 6a and 6b is basically "the centre of London". And even there, you have blocks of space like Kensington Gardens, Regent's Park etc with PTAL of 1a, 1b and 2. -
CPZ in Dulwich Village ward to go live on January 6
exdulwicher replied to Glemham's topic in Roads & Transport
It's entirely separate to the point of the thread which is CPZ but it came from the Southwark's Streets for People strategy: https://www.southwark.gov.uk/parking-streets-and-transport/improving-streets-and-spaces/streets-people/dulwich-projects/dulwich-village which is funded from a variety of sources. DfT, what used to be (under the previous Government) called the Department for Levelling Up, Housing and Communities (DLUHC), TfL (via their Liveable Neighbourhoods Programme) and the Government's Safer Streets Fund which I think is on Tranche 5 now (since it was launched in 2020) https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/safer-streets-fund-round-five/safer-streets-fund. There's probably something from Active Travel England in there too. That;s entirely normal for any large-scale intervention like that, there's no way it could be funded from CPZ surplus. Edit: none of the above is any great secret or conspiracy by the way, it's literally all there on Southwark's website. I'm sure if you emailed the highways team they could probably supply you a breakdown of which funds came from where. -
CPZ in Dulwich Village ward to go live on January 6
exdulwicher replied to Glemham's topic in Roads & Transport
You could just read the Parking Reports, they're all online: https://www.southwark.gov.uk/parking-streets-and-transport/parking/parking-annual-monitoring-reports Re the funding - almost all transport interventions come from grants. It's a bit more confusing in London because TfL will often pay some of it so there'll be some money from central Government in the form of a pot of money for sustainable transport or highways repair or community projects which councils (from anywhere) can bid for. Government announce this sort of thing all the time - a pot of £1bn for this, that or the other, councils bid for a portion of it and are awarded some money if the bid is accepted. Councils can supplement that with their own money, money from developers (called a Section 106 which you can read about here: https://www.gov.uk/guidance/planning-obligations ) and, in London, maybe some cash from TfL as well. -
CPZ in Dulwich Village ward to go live on January 6
exdulwicher replied to Glemham's topic in Roads & Transport
Because it can't be used for that. Government regulations require CPZ schemes to be self-financing: they cannot be financed from council tax. The charge will need to cover the implementation of the scheme, administration and enforcement costs. Any cash surplus goes into a ‘parking fund’, which is primarily used to fund the concessionary fares which provides free travel for elderly and disabled people. The CPZ is not (directly) connected to LTNs or to Dulwich Square. However, parking restrictions can form part of a range of measures such as LTNs to generally discourage parking especially around hotspot areas like schools and stations which, by their very nature, tend to attract short periods of very high usage (like school drop-off / pick-up times). With schools, you can sometimes address this by use of School Streets (short term "closures" of the road in front of the school to prevent the stereotypical School Run Mum parking the SUV eight inches from the gate) however in an area such as Dulwich where you have many schools within a very short distance of each other, a CPZ makes more sense than trying to close off areas in front of Alleyn's, JAGS, Dulwich Hamlet etc. -
Bear in mind, while you're all discussing whether it's 60 or 200 or whatever, that CrashMap only relates to personal injury accidents on public roads that are reported to the police, and subsequently recorded, using the STATS19 accident reporting form. Information on damage-only accidents, with no human casualties or accidents on private roads or in car parks are not included. So the poor fountain died for nothing cos it won't be recorded on there. Which means that the number of actual crashes will be significantly higher than shown on that map.
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It's clearly the fault of the fountain cos it's not wearing a helmet or hi-vis and doesn't pay any road tax. Really, it got what it deserved. Equally likely of course is that a poor innocent driver was proceeding entirely legally when suddenly a swarm (herd? flock?) of e-scooterists, Lime bikers and e-cargo bikes hurtled out of nowhere forcing the poor fountain into taking evasive action and it leapt into the path of the car. Could happen to any driver.
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Oh God, I can already visualise this in an estate agent window: "nestled in the heart of the Upper Dulwich quadrant is this modest 7 bedroom 5 bathroom apartment...." And then overhearing a conversation, maybe at a posh cafe, along the lines of "well, I live in Upper Dulwich you know...yes it's a charming little place, only the 7 bedrooms but we get by... Nanny of course has the attic room..."
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West Dulwich LTN Action Group - needs your support
exdulwicher replied to Rashmipat's topic in Roads & Transport
I feel I'm being misquoted or at least selectively quoted. It is very easy to check for and compensate for inaccuracies by cross-referencing with other sources of data. No-one is using these in isolation, they are there to support other sources. If there are wild disagreements between what the sensor is saying and what congestion monitoring, manual traffic counts, video feeds, bus journey times etc are all saying then you can investigate further, maybe disregard the bad stuff, reposition the sensor, apply a correction factor etc. You would also have a look for local events that could have caused a change to the normal traffic pattern. And as I also mentioned, you do not need to count every vehicle on every road and the idea that even a single vehicle missed is some kind of "OMG, teh D4tA i5 BAD!!!" gotcha is simply not true. The fact is that even "bad data" can be very useful in highlighting issues and errors. -
West Dulwich LTN Action Group - needs your support
exdulwicher replied to Rashmipat's topic in Roads & Transport
That's called sound methodology. It accepts and explains that not all data is good and - once again - there is a wider context. It's not specifically about tube counters, it's more to do with the overall data supplied by some (not all) councils not being up to the required standard for analysis so it gets discarded, ignored from the overall review. This is entirely normal in statistics, you invariably get some data that is corrupt, insufficient etc so, unless it can be properly validated and revised, it gets discarded. This should actually play into the hands of the anti-LTN folk cos there are fewer chances to prove LTNs are good. However the overall review of all the schemes using all the data that is available, was still overwhelmingly positive. Back to the tube counter stuff. They get extensively tested and validated by the councils, authorities etc that buy them. No-one is going to buy into a scheme that gives duff data but these counters are used all over the world. It's very easy to validate this stuff - you can run test scenarios, cross-reference with other independent sources of data and apply corrective factors if required, none of this is in any way unusual or radical. The tubes do more than just count vehicles. They measure speed (so it's easy to tell if it's free-flowing traffic or congestion), vehicle type and (depending on placement) they can also determine things like queue length and you can extrapolate from that delay times which is why it's actually quite handy to have them near junctions sometimes; it can measure how far back from the junction is routinely becoming congested. And as I said before, the info that the tube counters gives is cross-referenced with other data and compiled to give an overall picture. You're not after counting every vehicle on every road; you're after overall trends and patterns, increases and decreases over time and the reasons behind that - reasons which could include a new housing estate / school / supermarket etc causing an increase or a School Street / LTN causing a decrease. As a quick example, the most common "road load" number is called AADT - Annual Average Daily Traffic. It's basically a count of X vehicles use this road in a week then it must be X x 52 in a year or X/7 per day. That's useful for calculating expected wear and tear on the road, roadworks frequencies etc but it doesn't give the exact pattern of use because it's not (eg) 1200 vehicles per day spread neatly as 50 vehicles per hour 24/7. It's a very uneven load of <10 vehicles per hour at night rising to maybe 300 per hour for 90 mins in morning peak and then dropping off sharply during the day then rising again in the afternoon. However the AADT figure is widely used as an overall number. It's a good example of how you need a number of data points to give you the overall picture of road use. So in short, yes, the counters are fine. -
West Dulwich LTN Action Group - needs your support
exdulwicher replied to Rashmipat's topic in Roads & Transport
Oh bless. II think I've found the post you're referring to in the Streetspace thread, 15th May 2023? Feel free to tell me if it's another one of mine that you've found though. Right - accuracy. Tube counters work to supplement other sources of data (including, but not limited to) mobile phone/satnav data, roadworks databases, information from other sensors (such as Vivacity, independent traffic counts, TfL cameras etc) and their advantage is that a number of them can be deployed pretty quickly and at any location. They're left in place for a period of time, come of them upload data to the cloud of their own accord, some of the older ones need collecting and downloading. Location: You can NEVER have a free-flowing road by the way. Any road, from the smallest cul-de-sac off LL to the M1 can be subject to "congestion", it might be 5 minutes cos Amazon and DPD can't agree on which of them needs to back up, it might be 30 minutes while the refuse collection truck potters along the street or it might be a day cos some idiot has rammed their SUV into the bollards along EDG again. The data: you look at the traffic counts and cross-reference. Example: Oh look, there's a 30-min period on Tuesday morning when only 6 cars went across it. What does it look like either side of that timeframe? What does it look like on other days? What was the counter up the road saying about traffic going the other way? What would we *expect* at this time on a Tuesday morning? But rather than look at that one 30-min timeframe, you're doing it over the whole of the period it was left in place, looking for TRENDS. It doesn't matter if one day there's 1000 vehicles and every other day there's only 850 - trends like that are pretty regular (Friday afternoons!), you can often pick out individual events (such as a football match or a school open day, which is another source of cross-reference) and, if you do that often enough over a period of months, you gain a very good understanding of traffic trends that smooths out the short notice congestion stuff like a particularly busy day or a single accident or a 2 week period of roadworks. Crucially, they are as accurate as they need to be for supplementing other sources of data and for being rapidly deployed on pretty much any road in the borough, unlike more permanent sensors such as the Vivacity ones which need wiring into the lamp column, calibrating and verifying. Quick analogy is that a pilot doesn't just rely on one instrument to show their speed; they'll have GPS, air speed indicator (uncalibrated), True Airspeed (which is the uncalibrated figure corrected for altitude and temperature), Ground speed (which is True adjusted for wind speed and direction), mach number indicator... It's the same here. What's also the same is that no matter how much data there is and how much the council publish, the anti-folk will always claim it's not enough, it's not in the right place, or the right time, it's not representative, it's not accurate, it's fake... Except if the data shows an increase in traffic at which point it'll be 100% valid and all traffic schemes should instantly be removed cos it's a dead-cert that they've failed.
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