Christmas, is the 5 day relaxation worth it ?

[diable rouge]

...until the inevitable tax rises come home to roost

[j.a.]

DulwichFox Wrote:

-------------------------------------------------------

> I think we are seeing the delayed result of the

> 'Eat Out to Help Out' Promotion.

> The 'Tenner Off' campaign .

>

> Local Restaurants were Rammed.. Social Distancing

> virtually non-existent..

>

> Foxy

So you think they Covid has a *14 week* incubation period? Ooookay then...

I mean, cases started during while hospitality was shut down during November, but whatever.

https://mobile.twitter.com/PeterBorgNeal/status/1339827633824083969/photo/1

[Spartacus]

DulwichFox Wrote:

-------------------------------------------------------

> I think we are seeing the delayed result of the

> 'Eat Out to Help Out' Promotion.

> The 'Tenner Off' campaign .

>

> Local Restaurants were Rammed.. Social Distancing

> virtually non-existent..

>

> Foxy

I say this with total respect for you foxy

Rollocks

Those promotions ended ages ago so whilst they may have aided a slight blip at the time, the inoculation period doesn't support your theory.

My personal theory is that the new variant could be effecting the young so the spread is occurring in a different way to before possibly via school children who bring it home but that's may not be what's actually happening

Hang on to your hats for today's 4pm briefing to see what they announce.

[JohnL]

I suppose it's possible what started in August propagates through to a bigger increase than might have happened otherwise in November and December - that's what computer projections were devised to work out though.

It might be politically inconvenient to broadcast so will be released softly on Xmas eve if so :)

My thoughts are that actually social distancing may breed a new variant as only the variant that is most infectious can make the distance between people (when someone coughs outside the new variant might make it to a new host and is thus favoured). Of course that won't favour the killer variant so much (hopefully) - so more infectious, less/similar mortality.

[Sephiroth]

Eat out to help out problem is t that it did or didn?t I?m trade infections in and of itself

Or the amount of money spent (I think that should have just been given to hospitality to stay shut)

It?s that it fed a general belief that This Was Over and we could go back to normal. Despite lockdown 2/tiers, people are behaving very differently to April

[JohnL]

According to this journalist Christmas is cancelled and we're moving to tier 4

[sjsl]

Yep, Christmas off this year by the looks of it.

[IlonaM]

https://www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/tier-4-rules-london-covid-christmas-lockdown-b390412.html

[tomdhu]

Let's just hope and pray this new variant has less severe symptoms. Most viruses mutate over time with one example being the Spanish 'Flu which eventually burnt itself after 4 waves in around 4 years.

There wasn't a vaccine then so hopefully we will be spared a protracted crisis.

[JohnL]

This virus should have the same or lower mortality - not proved - but there is obviously a fear amongst other nations that what should happen may not happen.

Did the government include this scenario when it planned for the worst case a few weeks back I wonder.