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Betting advice please - TLS? / Quids? anyone else......

Mick Mac

By Mick Mac
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Mick Mac

Mick Mac

Posted
Posted

What am I missing?

Celtic / Rangers SPL showdown Sunday afternoon.


I have put ?200 on Celtic @ 1.7 Betfair. If Celtic win title I profit ?140. If they don't I lose ?200.

Celtic then messed up against Hibs and are now 3.35 to win SPL. It looks like I will lose ?200 so have to find a way out.

Odds are now: Celtic 3.35 Rangers 1.4

How can i set off the bet?.

????

????

Posted
Posted
bet on Rangers or lay Celtic is the easiest option to reduce your loss...but still gonna take a loss. Potentially, You could also do some actual match betting on both fixtures thinking about how the various potential outcomes effect your position...but that depends on the odds and may have to be done in inplay. Or you could have faith in the Bhoys!! ;-)
Tony.London Suburbs

Tony.London Suburbs

Posted
Posted

The latter part of what ???? said could be an option if they allow in-running on the 2 games ( which I assume are the last game each and are played simultaneously).


Although, sometimes, you can do "damage limitation" this, apart from the situation changing in-running, is not one of them, unfortunately Mick, as to back both teams at 1.7 ( a shade better than 4/6 ) and 1.4 ( exactly 2/5 ) can only lead someone to the poor house.


So:


Option 1: Sit on it and pray!

Option 2: Trade in-running if you are able to and the situation changes in your favour)...

Mick Mac

Mick Mac

Posted
  • Author
Posted

I have done a little spreadsheet. The best I can do is generate a ?100 loss on both results (by putting additional monies on both teams) - that way I'm guaranteed to lose ?100 either way and have no upside - see below:


SCENARIO A - CELTIC WIN TITLE


Celtic Win Current Odds Celtic 3.350

Rangers 1.400



Risked Odds Result Proceeds Win / Lose


Celtic 200 @ 1.700 Win 340 140


Rangers 310 @ 1.400 Lose Nil (310)


Celtic 30 @ 3.350 Win 101 71


Overall Loss (100)


SCENARIO B - RANGERS WIN TITLE


Celtic Lose Current Odds Celtic 3.350

Rangers 1.400



Risked Odds Result Proceeds Win / Lose


Celtic 200 @ 1.700 Lose Nil (200)


Rangers 310 @ 1.400 Win 434 124


Celtic 30 @ 3.350 Lose Nil (30)


Overall Loss (106)


At the end of the day I'll probably just stick with what I have got. Might back Rangers in running if they struggle early on. Cheers for help.

????

????

Posted
Posted

Tony.London Suburbs Wrote:

-------------------------------------------------------

> The latter part of what ???? said could be an

> option if they allow in-running on the 2 games (

> which I assume are the last game each and are

> played simultaneously).

>

> Although, sometimes, you can do "damage

> limitation" this, apart from the situation

> changing in-running, is not one of them,

> unfortunately Mick, as to back both teams at 1.7 (

> a shade better than 4/6 ) and 1.4 ( exactly 2/5 )

> can only lead someone to the poor house.

>

> So:

>

> Option 1: Sit on it and pray!

> Option 2: Trade in-running if you are able to and

> the situation changes in your favour)...


Tony, not all true - ?200 on Rangers would reduce losses for certain to ?120.. or ?60 if Celtic won surely?

Tony.London Suburbs

Tony.London Suburbs

Posted
Posted

???? Wrote:

unfortunately Mick, as to back both teams at 1.7, a shade better than 4/6 and 1.4 ( exactly 2/5

Tony, not all true - ?200 on Rangers would reduce losses for certain to ?120.. or ?60 if Celtic won surely?


I'll be really quick ???? as I've got to go and meet someone but ?200 on Rangers would restrict a Rangers loss to ?120 as you said but Celtic only Won ?140 in the first place and now putting ?200 on Rangers means Celtic lose him ?60 ( ?140+ - ?200) so he would lose ?120 on Rangers and now ?60 on Celtic...

????

????

Posted
Posted

Tony.London Suburbs Wrote:

-------------------------------------------------------

> ???? Wrote:

> unfortunately Mick, as to back both teams at 1.7,

> a shade better than 4/6 and 1.4 ( exactly 2/5

> Tony, not all true - ?200 on Rangers would reduce

> losses for certain to ?120.. or ?60 if Celtic won

> surely?

>

> I'll be really quick ???? as I've got to go and

> meet someone but ?200 on Rangers would restrict a

> Rangers loss to ?120 as you said but Celtic only

> Won ?140 in the first place and now putting ?200

> on Rangers means Celtic lose him ?60 ( ?140+ -

> ?200) so he would lose ?120 on Rangers and now ?60

> on Celtic...


er...tony......at the end of my previous post


"Tony, not all true - ?200 on Rangers would reduce losses for certain to ?120.. or ?60 if Celtic won surely?".....


you took the words right out of my mouth...>:D<

woofmarkthedog

woofmarkthedog

Posted
Posted

Mick Mac Wrote:

-------------------------------------------------------

> What am I missing?

> Celtic / Rangers SPL showdown Sunday afternoon.

>

> I have put ?200 on Celtic @ 1.7 Betfair. If Celtic

> win title I profit ?140. If they don't I lose

> ?200.

> Celtic then messed up against Hibs and are now

> 3.35 to win SPL. It looks like I will lose ?200 so

> have to find a way out.

> Odds are now: Celtic 3.35 Rangers 1.4

> How can i set off the bet?.





Buy a cheap bottle of Scotch




Drown y'sorrows with an offset headache

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