Jump to content

Betting advice please - TLS? / Quids? anyone else......


Recommended Posts

What am I missing?

Celtic / Rangers SPL showdown Sunday afternoon.


I have put ?200 on Celtic @ 1.7 Betfair. If Celtic win title I profit ?140. If they don't I lose ?200.

Celtic then messed up against Hibs and are now 3.35 to win SPL. It looks like I will lose ?200 so have to find a way out.

Odds are now: Celtic 3.35 Rangers 1.4

How can i set off the bet?.

bet on Rangers or lay Celtic is the easiest option to reduce your loss...but still gonna take a loss. Potentially, You could also do some actual match betting on both fixtures thinking about how the various potential outcomes effect your position...but that depends on the odds and may have to be done in inplay. Or you could have faith in the Bhoys!! ;-)

The latter part of what ???? said could be an option if they allow in-running on the 2 games ( which I assume are the last game each and are played simultaneously).


Although, sometimes, you can do "damage limitation" this, apart from the situation changing in-running, is not one of them, unfortunately Mick, as to back both teams at 1.7 ( a shade better than 4/6 ) and 1.4 ( exactly 2/5 ) can only lead someone to the poor house.


So:


Option 1: Sit on it and pray!

Option 2: Trade in-running if you are able to and the situation changes in your favour)...

I have done a little spreadsheet. The best I can do is generate a ?100 loss on both results (by putting additional monies on both teams) - that way I'm guaranteed to lose ?100 either way and have no upside - see below:


SCENARIO A - CELTIC WIN TITLE


Celtic Win Current Odds Celtic 3.350

Rangers 1.400



Risked Odds Result Proceeds Win / Lose


Celtic 200 @ 1.700 Win 340 140


Rangers 310 @ 1.400 Lose Nil (310)


Celtic 30 @ 3.350 Win 101 71


Overall Loss (100)


SCENARIO B - RANGERS WIN TITLE


Celtic Lose Current Odds Celtic 3.350

Rangers 1.400



Risked Odds Result Proceeds Win / Lose


Celtic 200 @ 1.700 Lose Nil (200)


Rangers 310 @ 1.400 Win 434 124


Celtic 30 @ 3.350 Lose Nil (30)


Overall Loss (106)


At the end of the day I'll probably just stick with what I have got. Might back Rangers in running if they struggle early on. Cheers for help.

Tony.London Suburbs Wrote:

-------------------------------------------------------

> The latter part of what ???? said could be an

> option if they allow in-running on the 2 games (

> which I assume are the last game each and are

> played simultaneously).

>

> Although, sometimes, you can do "damage

> limitation" this, apart from the situation

> changing in-running, is not one of them,

> unfortunately Mick, as to back both teams at 1.7 (

> a shade better than 4/6 ) and 1.4 ( exactly 2/5 )

> can only lead someone to the poor house.

>

> So:

>

> Option 1: Sit on it and pray!

> Option 2: Trade in-running if you are able to and

> the situation changes in your favour)...


Tony, not all true - ?200 on Rangers would reduce losses for certain to ?120.. or ?60 if Celtic won surely?

???? Wrote:

unfortunately Mick, as to back both teams at 1.7, a shade better than 4/6 and 1.4 ( exactly 2/5

Tony, not all true - ?200 on Rangers would reduce losses for certain to ?120.. or ?60 if Celtic won surely?


I'll be really quick ???? as I've got to go and meet someone but ?200 on Rangers would restrict a Rangers loss to ?120 as you said but Celtic only Won ?140 in the first place and now putting ?200 on Rangers means Celtic lose him ?60 ( ?140+ - ?200) so he would lose ?120 on Rangers and now ?60 on Celtic...

Tony.London Suburbs Wrote:

-------------------------------------------------------

> ???? Wrote:

> unfortunately Mick, as to back both teams at 1.7,

> a shade better than 4/6 and 1.4 ( exactly 2/5

> Tony, not all true - ?200 on Rangers would reduce

> losses for certain to ?120.. or ?60 if Celtic won

> surely?

>

> I'll be really quick ???? as I've got to go and

> meet someone but ?200 on Rangers would restrict a

> Rangers loss to ?120 as you said but Celtic only

> Won ?140 in the first place and now putting ?200

> on Rangers means Celtic lose him ?60 ( ?140+ -

> ?200) so he would lose ?120 on Rangers and now ?60

> on Celtic...


er...tony......at the end of my previous post


"Tony, not all true - ?200 on Rangers would reduce losses for certain to ?120.. or ?60 if Celtic won surely?".....


you took the words right out of my mouth...>:D<

Mick Mac Wrote:

-------------------------------------------------------

> What am I missing?

> Celtic / Rangers SPL showdown Sunday afternoon.

>

> I have put ?200 on Celtic @ 1.7 Betfair. If Celtic

> win title I profit ?140. If they don't I lose

> ?200.

> Celtic then messed up against Hibs and are now

> 3.35 to win SPL. It looks like I will lose ?200 so

> have to find a way out.

> Odds are now: Celtic 3.35 Rangers 1.4

> How can i set off the bet?.





Buy a cheap bottle of Scotch




Drown y'sorrows with an offset headache

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Latest Discussions

    • He did mention it's share of freehold, I’d be very cautious with that. It can turn into a nightmare if relationships with neighbours break down. My brother had a share of freehold in a flat in West Hampstead, and when he needed to sell, the neighbour refused to sign the transfer of the freehold. What followed was over two years of legal battles, spiralling costs and constant stress. He lost several potential buyers, and the whole sale fell through just as he got a job offer in another city. It was a complete disaster. The neighbour was stubborn and uncooperative, doing everything they could to delay the process. It ended in legal deadlock, and there was very little anyone could do without their cooperation. At that point, the TA6 form becomes the least of your worries; it’s the TR1 form that matters. Without the other freeholder’s signature on that, you’re stuck. After seeing what my brother went through, I’d never touch a share of freehold again. When things go wrong, they can go really wrong. If you have a share of freehold, you need a respectful and reasonable relationship with the others involved; otherwise, it can be costly, stressful and exhausting. Sounds like these neighbours can’t be reasoned with. There’s really no coming back from something like this unless they genuinely apologise and replace the trees and plants they ruined. One small consolation is that people who behave like this are usually miserable behind closed doors. If they were truly happy, they’d just get on with their lives instead of trying to make other people’s lives difficult. And the irony is, they’re being incredibly short-sighted. This kind of behaviour almost always backfires.  
    • I had some time with him recently at the local neighbourhood forum and actually was pretty impressed by him, I think he's come a long way.
    • I cook at home - almost 95% of what we eat at home is cooked from scratch.  But eating out is more than just having dinner, it is socialising and doing something different. Also,sometimes it is nice to pay someone else to cook and clear up.
Home
Events
Sign In

Sign In



Or sign in with one of these services

Search
×
    Search In
×
×
  • Create New...