Betting Matters....

[????]

BTW Declan, I meant to ask you a while back, how's your Rugby betting going as you seem pretty knowledgeable. Was it enough to have an edge over the market? if so can I get some tips from you :))

[????]

Right, sussed it, if Ururagay beat Holland we're neutral on the first time lay whatever happens.... with the Spain bet possibly alive. If spain beat Germany the bet's still on whatever happens. So if Holland beat Uruguay and Germany Spain, bet Holland almost certainly for a neutral outcome. Still a free bet on Spain ;-)

[Narnia]

Yeah, 1-0 if I remember correctly.

[Narnia]

I wonder what was I half listening to?

[Mick Mac]

Are you talking to yourself again Quids?

Anyway - had a decent bet on Germany to win today - first wining world cup bet.

[Narnia]

???? Wrote:

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> BTW Declan, I meant to ask you a while back, how's

> your Rugby betting going as you seem pretty

> knowledgeable. Was it enough to have an edge over

> the market? if so can I get some tips from you :))

No problem Quids. Tip 1: Australia to finish 3rd in tri-nations.

[red devil]

Paul the Octopus has predicted Spain to beat Germany...so far he has predicted all of Germany's results correctly (that includes the defeat to Serbia)...he is obviously no mug

Paul The Octopus...

[Mick Mac]

red devil Wrote:

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> Paul the Octopus has predicted Spain to beat

> Germany...so far he has predicted all of Germany's

> results correctly (that includes the defeat to

> Serbia)...he is obviously no mug

>

> Paul The Octopus...

Oh dear - I have put my Germany winnings (from Argie game) on them to win the tournament. Could Paul be wrong for once....

[red devil]

...could Paul be murdered!

[Narnia]

I have a bit left in the pot so who should I back tonight. I have a small wager on Holland last night and tonight being a draw. I also won a bit on Holland last night. Where should I put it? My heart says Spain.

[????]

Deutschland Uber Alles

[Narnia]

They dropped Torres. Got to go with Spain........again.

[red devil]

...*Waits for Paul the Octopus's final prediction with baited breath*

[Mick Mac]

Italy, Brazil, Germany. All losers.

Will now start a thread on how to save money of gas and electricity.

[Narnia]

Narnia Wrote:

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> I wonder what was I half listening to?

Now I know.......no team won the WC having lost their OPENING group match.

[????]

A bet on Holland this morning means I'm only up for a very small loss if they lose, even with my first time winner lay (Spain still a nice little winner). I also had a small bet for Webb as Final referee at the quarter finals (2.4).

Just my stoooopid and spontanous lump on on Paraguay to beat NZ has cost me a decent profit on the tournament - spontaneous bets....GRrrrrrrrrrr.

[Narnia]

Less so if you didn't bet on Holland at all and Spain won, presumably. Is this not called hedging?

[red devil]

Just heard Paul the Octopus has backed Spain...devastated, got Holland at 12's

[Narnia]

I reckon NZ to beat SA by less than 12.5 points @ 2.76 is good value. SA haven't won in Eden Park since 1937 though because of rebuilding for next years WC the capacity is only going to be 17,500.Historically they have played 78 times and the average points difference is in NZ's favour but by less than 3 points. I reckon it will be close tomorrow too.

[????]

Looks a good bet Declan, was going to have a sniff but need to transfer to an Aussie Wallet on Betfair so didn't bother. Good luck.

[red devil]

I hate that fooking octopus...

[????]

Come on then Mick - whose your money on? I'm on Woods and Watney

[Mick Mac]

Outsiders only so far - running low on funds.

Ross Fisher 55 ?10.00

Darren Clarke 110 ?5.00

Zach Johnson 150 ?2.00

Shane Lowry 130 ?2.00

At shorter odds have now gone for ?20 on Harrington at 25s - usually gives you a good run and should be ok in the bad weather. Think Tiger is not quite there yet, so bad weather may knock his swing out a fraction. Rory to win would be a dream result, no need to bet to get a kick out of that, but might just check his odds after round 1, he is certainly too short at current odds.

Have added ?2 on Chris Wood and Gareth Maybin. Chris Wood has a good Open record and yet is 100/1 Gareth Maybin is 810/1 so that must mean he is really good too.

[????]

I'm gonna do a couple more - I've been looking on the betfair Golf forum but noones logic seems that convincing.

[Mick Mac]

Thats because noone knows who is going to win....especially with the weather - best tactics for golf are to bet after round 2. Anyone within 5 shots has a decent chance and you still get decent odds for the chasing pack. Nice to have some interest for the first two days though.