Betting Matters....

[????]

or 'no slam winner' at 6.5?

[????]

CGC - Denman 4.5 is tempting as is Imperial Commander EW at 15

[Mick Mac]

???? Wrote:

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> Why didn't you just bet England to beat France?

> That'd hedge it properly.

I would not get 8/1 on that. I don't think England will beat Ireland today (or beat France) but if they win today they are a better team than I thought and will then have areal chance of beating France and will be quite short odds, so I thought now was the time to take the 8/1. If they are good enough to beat France in Paris they will def beat Ireland today, so the two go together.

[????]

IF the beat Ireland then you'll be in good place yes

[????]

er,,,,,finanicially!

[Mick Mac]

Very good odds I agree but I am a Kauto fan and a Ruby Walsh fan. Tony McCoy sometimes does not do the business when on a top chance horse for some reason. Ruby is a cool head and I think he knows Kauto's perfect cruising speed. McCoy may have pushed Denman too hard so he was uncomfortable and slipped up?

[Mick Mac]

They won't beat Ireland (hopefully) but if they do they are a real grand slam chance. If England don't win today I won't bother hedging for the final game as I just could not then see England improving sufficiently to win in Paris.

Both bets placed will win me over ?200 so I'm happy to have hedged a bit.

No grand slam is not attractive - its good odds cos everyone knows France will win it now :))

[????]

Playing with the numbers for a decent return

?50 on France GS 6.0= ?300 hedged =?200

?100 england france 2.5 = ?250 = ?200

Youd still be getting 4 on France, not bad

[????]

My logic is France WONT lose to Italy

If Ireland beat England (Likely) you've still got the worry on england beating France (possible)

Or if England beat Ireland (unlikely) you've then got to worry a tad about Scotland

[Narnia]

What would you get on England losing all three remaining fixtures?

[Mick Mac]

???? Wrote:

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> Playing with the numbers for a decent return

>

> ?50 on France GS 6.0= ?300 hedged =?200

>

> ?100 england france 2.5 = ?250 = ?200

>

> Youd still be getting 4 on France, not bad

Looks good but too late am on way to game. Will look at it again after todays result but my thought is that if england lord today them they will not beat france but their odds may lengthen for the france game after if they lord today. Think declan has i point they could lose their last 3 games or win them all cos noone really knows how good or bad this england team is .

[Narnia]

I think England will lose in Scotland and France, Mick. Mind you those Italians could give France a shock in Paris.I'd love that.

[Mick Mac]

italy declan ? grand slam = Pizza cake.

[Narnia]

I'd expect France to win but wouldn't underestimate the Italians. They have a great pack and they actually ran the ball today. France don't lose in Paris very often but they may get wobbly if a match doesn't go in their favour at the start.

[Mick Mac]

You are joking Declan. France to lose in Paris to Italy. No chance, sorry.

England on the other hand have a chance.

[Narnia]

Look at it this way Mick:

Italy beat Scotland

Scotland should have beaten Wales

Wales should have beaten France

Thus Italy to beat France.............

[MrBen]

To football...I have ?100 on an England vs Egypt draw at 7/2 and a twenty on an Egyptian win at 7-1.

Egypt looked very strong in the Africa Cup (which they recently won) but have not qualified for the World Cup and keen to show they are still strong...England trying out a few things in prep for the WC, Terry affair, restless expectant crowd .

Basically I'm backing Egypt for a result with this one.....

[????]

Betfair is your friend Mr Ben

England are 1.43 so you could have laid them for ?300 for the same risk ( ?120) and picked up ?300 for draw Or win.

[Mick Mac]

Mr Ben should have backed the scots to beat the Czechs.

[MrBen]

I should have Mick. With was all going good until 73rd odd minute but I was impressed with the English performance last night. Perhaps my 1966 Glenalbyn is not as safe as I thought.

[????]

*licks lips*

[Mick Mac]

So calling all hedgers (Quids)

What to do? Can I guarantee a decent profit?

Have:

?250 on Arsenal at approx 7/1

?50 on Chelsea at 2/1

Nout on MU

?50 on Liverpool (lost obviously)

Chelsea and MU currently joint favourites at 2.7ish on Betfair and Arsenal 3.85.

[Peckhamgatecrasher]

What are you offsetting the champagne against?

[????]

Do you mean 7/1 or 7 decimal? You can't guarantee a decent or indeed any profit (I think)...you've got ?350 to cover

Arsenal have some easy games approaching...maybe leave it and then lay them if they get expected results. You could also bet Man U on individual games as they're your biggest problem...but you're going to be down if Chelsea win too! I'd just stay with what you've got to be honest.

[Mick Mac]

Peckhamgatecrasher Wrote:

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> What are you offsetting the champagne against?

I will hope to make sufficient profit from backing Rangers to win the next Old Firm game to pay for the champagne. As long as one of Walters brothers is referring again I should make a tidy profit and you should be able to get merrily drunk on my winnings. (wink)