Jump to content

Recommended Posts

se22cat wrote

-------------


> Maybe this might help clear LL of morons...


> https://twitter.com/mahishasuraa/status/1241760953311432704


I think it would be helpful, as always, if you give a short summary or indication of what the link is about. Doubly helpful here, when the link is, at least for me, currently unreachable.

KidKruger Wrote:

-------------------------------------------------------

> It's basically some (what look like) Indian police

> with their long sticks thrashing culprits who've

> contravened traffic rules or caught their

> attention for the wrong reason. Nothing heavy,

> just a few solid thwacks with their thrashing

> sticks.


They're aiming for the backside of 'offenders' but can't see it happening in LL :)

The death toll has jumped again- it's the builders using public transport travelling in from poorer areas- a lot of them are probably paid cash in hand and will have nothing as they are not on any system to receive aid....this is probably why they have NOT been banned from work. What happened at Canning Town during the Extinction Rebellion protests is an indication of where and who they are- we are heading for the worst case scenario I fear

seenbeen Wrote:

-------------------------------------------------------

> The death toll has jumped again- it's the builders

> using public transport travelling in from poorer

> areas- a lot of them are probably paid cash in

> hand and will have nothing as they are not on any

> system to receive aid....this is probably why they

> have NOT been banned from work. What happened at

> Canning Town during the Extinction Rebellion

> protests is an indication of where and who they

> are- we are heading for the worst case scenario I

> fear


I think there's maybe a 30% chance millions of us have it (I wouldn't be surprised).


Still have no idea how long it lingers, if you gain immunity, if it can return, how long it takes to recover and what the symptoms of the dangerous part of the disease are and when they could come (I heard day 12 previously)

JohnL wrote:

-----------

> Still have no idea how long it lingers,

> if you gain immunity, if it can return,

> how long it takes to recover and what

> the symptoms of the dangerous part of

> the disease are and when they could

> come (I heard day 12 previously)


Have you read the paper you linked to at https://www.eastdulwichforum.co.uk/forum/read.php?20,2096178,2103021#msg-2103021? :) There are some nicely digestible tables and graphics even if you you don't want plough through it all, which cover some of your items. Near the bottom of the HTML page there's a link to a PDF download, which I find a lot easier to handle. There may well be other papers now. One of the presenters on BBC Inside Science this week reckoned, I'm not sure whether half-jokingly, that there about forty a day emerging at the moment. That edition covers quite a few listeners' questions, and talks to several researchers. Well worth a listen I think. Hearable and downloadable at https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000glnw. Actually I see that the downloadable podcast is fifty percent longer than the 28 minute off-air recording I have, so I'm getting that too.

JohnL wrote "I think there's maybe a 30% chance millions of us have it (I wouldn't be surprised)."


Yes you are probably right but the problem is that if the 30% go around willy-nilly infecting people then some vulnerable people will get very sick and end up in hospital on ventilators, key workers get sick and cannot do their jobs- the NHS collapses (after all covid sufferers are not the ONLY sick people), law and order may collapse, food and medicines cannot be supplied - hence the need to social distance and prevent unnecessary travel and contact- travel passes need to be issued to essential workers

seenbeen Wrote:

-------------------------------------------------------

> JohnL wrote "I think there's maybe a 30% chance

> millions of us have it (I wouldn't be

> surprised)."

>

> Yes you are probably right but the problem is that

> if the 30% go around willy-nilly infecting people

> then some vulnerable people will get very sick

> and end up in hospital on ventilators, key

> workers get sick and cannot do their jobs- the

> NHS collapses (after all covid sufferers are not

> the ONLY sick people), law and order may collapse,

> food and medicines cannot be supplied - hence the

> need to social distance and prevent unnecessary

> travel and contact- travel passes need to be

> issued to essential workers



One of you is saying that there?s a 30% chance ?millions have it?


One of you seems to be saying probably 30% of people have it


But do either of you have any basis for saying either of those things?

From : https://www.gov.uk/guidance/coronavirus-covid-19-information-for-the-public#number-of-cases


"Number of cases


As of 9am on 27 March 2020, a total of 113,777 people have been tested, of which 99,198 were confirmed negative and 14,579 were confirmed positive.


As of 5pm on 26 March 2020, 759 patients in the UK who tested positive for coronavirus (COVID-19) have died.


The figures for test results and for deaths are compiled from different sources. This is why the figures for deaths are reported from an earlier point in time than the figures for test results."

pk Wrote:

-------------------------------------------------------

> seenbeen Wrote:

> --------------------------------------------------

> -----

> > JohnL wrote "I think there's maybe a 30% chance

> > millions of us have it (I wouldn't be

> > surprised)."

> >

> > Yes you are probably right but the problem is

> that

> > if the 30% go around willy-nilly infecting

> people

> > then some vulnerable people will get very sick

> > and end up in hospital on ventilators, key

> > workers get sick and cannot do their jobs- the

> > NHS collapses (after all covid sufferers are

> not

> > the ONLY sick people), law and order may

> collapse,

> > food and medicines cannot be supplied - hence

> the

> > need to social distance and prevent unnecessary

> > travel and contact- travel passes need to be

> > issued to essential workers

>

>

> One of you is saying that there?s a 30% chance

> ?millions have it?

>

> One of you seems to be saying probably 30% of

> people have it

>

> But do either of you have any basis for saying

> either of those things?


No - just my gut feeling from all the info you get on TV.

Yeah gut feel is all you can go with I suppose (applying what little fact there is)


On gut feel, I?d say it?s very likely that millions of people have contracted the virus, maybe many millions


As to percentage of population, I?ve no idea


Scarily literally nobody knows, but what?s going on at excel def says that things could get really bad

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Latest Discussions

    • That's great you have the cat! Sorry to interfere, and feel free to ignore this, but it might not be a great idea to post your mobile number on a public forum? You can message the owner on the forum via a private message.
    • Copleston centre hire for adult parties 
    • Most churches rent out halls for children's' parties but rarely adult parties, Christ Church only does afternoon parties,   The East Dulwich Community centre hires out halls to 9 pm only and all music needs to be on a sound restrictor as is in a residential area. St Johns with St Clements have a small hall but not sure if they allow adult parties. Nunhead Green has a newish community centre with a couple of different size halls. Most places seem to charge around £40 ph  with a deposit of £100/200 (returned if no damage or excess cleaning needed.
    • Hello, Recently there have been various comments made on the forum which have resulted in heated discussions being had. I for one, hold up my hand and wanted to personally thank whoever is keeping the forum going.. remember when it was likely to close. We are all adults and should known when it is right to continue or just ignore or if really feel it necessary comment via pm. I have had a long relationship with the forum and have bought, sold, offered advice and in deed made friends on the forum over the years. It is a public forum after all and everyone is entitled to express their opinion and is also free. I am not as tech minded as most but with the season of good will approaching and-knowing in this economic climate how many people are  struggling, I  thought it would be a lovely idea, to perhaps set up a just giving page to raise funds for a local charity who might appreciate a contribution towards their Christmas festivities… On a practical side, might just be to complicated to administer as I am sure all have charities that we support so my other thought was not me, as I am useless but to set up a just giving page and whatever monies are raised, perhaps contribute to the festivities that use to be run by local shops or whatever.. Maybe even use a local church hall and just make it special for perhaps folk that find it difficult to access events or no access for say wheel chair users.. guess really, one is looking for guidance from the church and of course volunteers. Shoot me down if you must or feel the need but this is my view and no, sadly I won’t be around in the months before Christmas but can help remotely.      
Home
Events
Sign In

Sign In



Or sign in with one of these services

Search
×
    Search In
×
×
  • Create New...