Jump to content

Recommended Posts

se22cat wrote

-------------


> Maybe this might help clear LL of morons...


> https://twitter.com/mahishasuraa/status/1241760953311432704


I think it would be helpful, as always, if you give a short summary or indication of what the link is about. Doubly helpful here, when the link is, at least for me, currently unreachable.

KidKruger Wrote:

-------------------------------------------------------

> It's basically some (what look like) Indian police

> with their long sticks thrashing culprits who've

> contravened traffic rules or caught their

> attention for the wrong reason. Nothing heavy,

> just a few solid thwacks with their thrashing

> sticks.


They're aiming for the backside of 'offenders' but can't see it happening in LL :)

The death toll has jumped again- it's the builders using public transport travelling in from poorer areas- a lot of them are probably paid cash in hand and will have nothing as they are not on any system to receive aid....this is probably why they have NOT been banned from work. What happened at Canning Town during the Extinction Rebellion protests is an indication of where and who they are- we are heading for the worst case scenario I fear

seenbeen Wrote:

-------------------------------------------------------

> The death toll has jumped again- it's the builders

> using public transport travelling in from poorer

> areas- a lot of them are probably paid cash in

> hand and will have nothing as they are not on any

> system to receive aid....this is probably why they

> have NOT been banned from work. What happened at

> Canning Town during the Extinction Rebellion

> protests is an indication of where and who they

> are- we are heading for the worst case scenario I

> fear


I think there's maybe a 30% chance millions of us have it (I wouldn't be surprised).


Still have no idea how long it lingers, if you gain immunity, if it can return, how long it takes to recover and what the symptoms of the dangerous part of the disease are and when they could come (I heard day 12 previously)

JohnL wrote:

-----------

> Still have no idea how long it lingers,

> if you gain immunity, if it can return,

> how long it takes to recover and what

> the symptoms of the dangerous part of

> the disease are and when they could

> come (I heard day 12 previously)


Have you read the paper you linked to at https://www.eastdulwichforum.co.uk/forum/read.php?20,2096178,2103021#msg-2103021? :) There are some nicely digestible tables and graphics even if you you don't want plough through it all, which cover some of your items. Near the bottom of the HTML page there's a link to a PDF download, which I find a lot easier to handle. There may well be other papers now. One of the presenters on BBC Inside Science this week reckoned, I'm not sure whether half-jokingly, that there about forty a day emerging at the moment. That edition covers quite a few listeners' questions, and talks to several researchers. Well worth a listen I think. Hearable and downloadable at https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000glnw. Actually I see that the downloadable podcast is fifty percent longer than the 28 minute off-air recording I have, so I'm getting that too.

JohnL wrote "I think there's maybe a 30% chance millions of us have it (I wouldn't be surprised)."


Yes you are probably right but the problem is that if the 30% go around willy-nilly infecting people then some vulnerable people will get very sick and end up in hospital on ventilators, key workers get sick and cannot do their jobs- the NHS collapses (after all covid sufferers are not the ONLY sick people), law and order may collapse, food and medicines cannot be supplied - hence the need to social distance and prevent unnecessary travel and contact- travel passes need to be issued to essential workers

seenbeen Wrote:

-------------------------------------------------------

> JohnL wrote "I think there's maybe a 30% chance

> millions of us have it (I wouldn't be

> surprised)."

>

> Yes you are probably right but the problem is that

> if the 30% go around willy-nilly infecting people

> then some vulnerable people will get very sick

> and end up in hospital on ventilators, key

> workers get sick and cannot do their jobs- the

> NHS collapses (after all covid sufferers are not

> the ONLY sick people), law and order may collapse,

> food and medicines cannot be supplied - hence the

> need to social distance and prevent unnecessary

> travel and contact- travel passes need to be

> issued to essential workers



One of you is saying that there?s a 30% chance ?millions have it?


One of you seems to be saying probably 30% of people have it


But do either of you have any basis for saying either of those things?

From : https://www.gov.uk/guidance/coronavirus-covid-19-information-for-the-public#number-of-cases


"Number of cases


As of 9am on 27 March 2020, a total of 113,777 people have been tested, of which 99,198 were confirmed negative and 14,579 were confirmed positive.


As of 5pm on 26 March 2020, 759 patients in the UK who tested positive for coronavirus (COVID-19) have died.


The figures for test results and for deaths are compiled from different sources. This is why the figures for deaths are reported from an earlier point in time than the figures for test results."

pk Wrote:

-------------------------------------------------------

> seenbeen Wrote:

> --------------------------------------------------

> -----

> > JohnL wrote "I think there's maybe a 30% chance

> > millions of us have it (I wouldn't be

> > surprised)."

> >

> > Yes you are probably right but the problem is

> that

> > if the 30% go around willy-nilly infecting

> people

> > then some vulnerable people will get very sick

> > and end up in hospital on ventilators, key

> > workers get sick and cannot do their jobs- the

> > NHS collapses (after all covid sufferers are

> not

> > the ONLY sick people), law and order may

> collapse,

> > food and medicines cannot be supplied - hence

> the

> > need to social distance and prevent unnecessary

> > travel and contact- travel passes need to be

> > issued to essential workers

>

>

> One of you is saying that there?s a 30% chance

> ?millions have it?

>

> One of you seems to be saying probably 30% of

> people have it

>

> But do either of you have any basis for saying

> either of those things?


No - just my gut feeling from all the info you get on TV.

Yeah gut feel is all you can go with I suppose (applying what little fact there is)


On gut feel, I?d say it?s very likely that millions of people have contracted the virus, maybe many millions


As to percentage of population, I?ve no idea


Scarily literally nobody knows, but what?s going on at excel def says that things could get really bad

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Latest Discussions

    • Thankyou so so much tam. Your def a at angle. I was so so worried. Your a good man, we need more like your good self in the world.  Thankyou for the bottom of my heart. Pepper is pleased to be back
    • I have your cat , she’s fine , you can phone me on 07883 065 076 , I’m still up and can bring her to you now (1.15 AM Sunday) if not tonight then tomorrow afternoon or evening ? I’ve DM’d you in here as well 
    • This week's edition of The Briefing Room I found really useful and impressively informative on the training aspect.  David Aaronovitch has come a long way since his University Challenge day. 😉  It's available to hear online or download as mp3. https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m002n7wv In a few days time resident doctors -who used to be known as junior doctors - were meant to be going on strike. This would be the 14th strike by the doctors’ union since March 2023. The ostensible reason was pay but now the dispute may be over without more increases to salary levels. The Government has instead made an offer to do something about the other big issue for early career doctors - working conditions and specialist training places. David Aaronovitch and guests discuss what's going on and ask what the problem is with the way we in Britain train our doctors? Guests: Hugh Pym, BBC Health Editor Sir Andrew Goddard, Consultant Gastroenterologist Professor Martin McKee, Professor of European Public Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine Mark Dayan, Policy Analyst, Nuffield Trust. Presenter: David Aaronovitch Producers: Caroline Bayley, Kirsteen Knight, Cordelia Hemming Production Co-ordinator: Maria Ogundele Sound Engineers: Michael Regaard, Gareth Jones Editor: Richard Vadon  
    • That was one that the BBC seem to have lost track of.  But they do still have quite a few. These are some in their 60s archive. https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m0028zp6
Home
Events
Sign In

Sign In



Or sign in with one of these services

Search
×
    Search In
×
×
  • Create New...