The splintering of the rebels is horribly akin to the fractures in the loyalist coalitions in the Spanish Civil War, instead of concentrating on victory they're already fighting over the spoils of a victory that is becoming more and more illusory the more they fight for it's end-state. In fact with each islamist atrocity I see an increase in likelihood of an end to the war with echoes of Iraq, a Hama-Awakening if you will. How that will pan out in terms of a workable peace after the atrocities committed by the government backed militias I have no idea, but uneasy would certainly be an understatement. Given the events of the last few months surely any sort of peace is preferable to any end-state desired by extra national actors, but it would certainly seem that the loyalist forces have a better hand in those (potential) negotiations. As an aside, I can't help (with the usual horror at all political, particularly indiscriminate, violence) a sort of schadenfreudal sense of irony at Hezbollah , on becoming a quasi-national military force and instrument of repression, eliciting the sort of insurgent activity that they more or less invented.