alex_b

TheCat Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > So there's two ways to look at this statement. On > the one hand it sounds very negative, but on the > other if what you're saying is right, then the > majority of the economic impact for those > companies properly prepared has already been felt > (ie. People have already been moved or fired) and > the sompany isn't yet in civil war. That surely is > incrementally positive for what might happen in > the event of no deal? On the flip side of course > is those businesses that haven't prepared.... I think a lot of the impact is baked in but not yet felt. Moving contracts and headquarters is happening but won?t be seen in corporation tax receipts until next year. Similarly a lot of companies are looking to shift headcount by attrition over the next couple of years, replacing leavers/retirees with staff in the European locations. There will be redundancies too, but business will look to minimise costs as much as possible. In the event of no deal this would need to be accelerated, if the transition deal is signed it?ll be a slow bleed rather than a sudden impact.

Also even if you live relatively locally (borders of Crystal Palace and Dulwich say) you might choose to drive vs taking the bus.

fishbiscuits Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > I think most firms - who are able to - have > already made contingency arrangements for a > no-deal brexit. The company I work for have opened > offices in Amsterdam and Paris, just to ensure > continuity of business in case we don't get a > suitable deal. This pretty much ensures we'll make > a loss for several years in a row, and will of > course have to be offset by redundancies in > London. But it's either that, or risk going out of > business altogether. You're of course right, many firms have set up new subsidiaries, expanded existing European operations and/or moved contracts from UK to European subsidiaries. This comes at the cost of lost jobs to the UK and also the loss of tax revenue from the companies and their employees. To an extent this will happen irrespective of deal/no-deal as May has determined she doesn't want to be in the single market, making a lot of cross border services trade impossible or significantly more expensive than delivering the work from inside the EU. The bigger challenge with no-deal is that this pain will be immediate and deeper than the slow bleeding of jobs and revenue that will occur over the next two years as the final deal becomes clear. Even if we now remain, many companies have spent enough relocating that a significant number of jobs will not return. > I do really wonder what possible upsides there are > to this whole exercise. Even the gammon-minded > leavers aren't going to achieve their aim of > keeping out foreigners, as the govt prepare to > ramp up non-EU immigration to meet the > shortfall... I can't see any, any trade deals we strike with 3rd parties are unlikely to be faster or significantly more advantageous than the ones being struck as part of the EU. Even if they were 20% better this wouldn't offset the necessarily worse trading conditions with the continent. Unfortunately Brexit is a cultural/philosophical position and pragmatism doesn't appear to come in to it.

TheCat Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > At the risk of raising the ire of some on > here....given the situation we have found > ourselves in, I am starting to question whether > 'no deal' is actually all that bad? Just one concrete example of the effect of no deal. I know a financial services firm who run all of their customer service and data processing for Europe from the UK. In the event of no deal their legal advice is that they will be unable to process any EU customer data in the UK due to GDPR. This will lead immediately to the redundancy of approximately 6000 staff. Many other firms are in a similar position and of course losing 6000 jobs from a locality will have a huge knock on effect for other local businesses.

We really liked Goose Green when we visited last year, the new head is great and the parents we spoke to are very positive about the school and the changes they've seen. There are some active parents from Goose Green on the forum and I'm sure they'll weigh in. We placed it above SJSC and Bellenden in our choices, but got into our first choice (Belham) which our son loves. Good luck wherever you choose.

I'm in Adys Road and have suffered from fairly regular outages (perhaps once a month or so), although it seems to have become better over the last few months. Generally outages are a few hours, but we've had a couple of longer outages. There's a big thread somewhere on the forum that had a better track on this. My understanding is that the infrastructure in the area is very overloaded which causes the outages. The customer support is beyond terrible and completely clueless. On the other hand when it's working (which is most of the time) the speed is very good.

With the fall in the value of the pound we're already worse off. With the addition of tariffs on EU goods things will get even more expensive. I don't see how Brexit can lead to cheaper anything without a) massive reduction of standards, b) total destruction of domestic production (particularly for food) or c) both.

Our son goes to (and really enjoys) footballmagiccoaching.co.uk which is ?7 a session (?42 per half term). There is a reception class on Wednesdays after school in Peckham, there may be weekend sessions too.

The closure for cyclists is only for the small part of the actual works taking place. It may be that cycling to the closure and then dismounting and walking to the other side might be most efficient (and quietest).

Nigello Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > Maybe neighbours could offer to let those with > lots of cardboard to use their blue bins? I offer > to my neighbours and they sometimes use it, if > there is room. I agree that Dunstans Road looks > messy because of the lack of space (soemetimes) in > front yards/gardens for bins so any extra refuse > would make it look worse. I always collapse big boxes and put them neatly by our blue bin and they?re always collected. It?s they polystyrene that?s a real pain as it completely fills the green bin and isn?t collected if it?s bagged separately.

Robin if you happen to speak to the tree officers there are a number of trees towards the top (Lordship Lane) end of Crystal Palace Road that could do with their basal shoots dealing with. There?s a stump that?s regrowing as a bush as well.

Robin thanks for the information. Please let me know if you get an informal group started, I?d be happy to do some pruning on Adys and Nutbrook.

rch - thanks for all of the information in this thread. One thing that Southwark don?t seem very hot on is dealing with water sprouts. With the stress all of the trees were under this summer it seems to be a real issue. They?re obviously unsightly but also because they?re bushy growth from the ground they block pavements much more quickly than a lack of pruning at branch level. Is it something you could ask the tree officers about?

I think your best option would be either an au pair or a nanny share. We had a nanny, then had an au pair and are now switching to an after school nanny. Au pairs are around ?100 a week, nannies are generally around ?12 an hour once you?ve figured in tax etc.

mynamehere Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > forgive me for asking but... after all of this > (above posting and time on your street) exactly > why didn't you have the less than 30 seconds > needed to take the parcel and put it on the inside > of your door? I amend that to 10 seconds Sometimes I refuse parcels when I know I wont be in for my neighbours to collect them. It's frustrating when a neighbour (kindly) takes a parcel in and then isn't around for days on end, in those cases it would be better to refuse delivery and have the courier redeliver the next day.

rendelharris Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > betternowthanthen Wrote: > -------------------------------------------------- > ----- > > When i arrived at the car park yesterday,on the > > black sign that states out your reg plate > numbers, > > you can't see on the sign how long your allowed > to > > park for, (no number of hrs) so you wouln't > know > > how long your allowed to park for in the first > > place! Silly really! I scene a little > > deception/poor maintenance here, no wonder > people > > are getting fined. Poor management, can't even > > spot a obvious error. Sure this is on purpose, > > otherwise it would clearly say amount of time > you > > can park for. Must be a legal issue too! > > Underneath the bit that flashes up your reg plate > it says "Your free parking expires at" and flashes > up a time. Plus there are plenty of parking signs all over the carpark that say 2hrs on them. I really don't see what more Sainsbury's should be doing here, they seem far more transparent and reasonable than many other private car park operators.

johnie Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > I thought, as the whole of East Dulwich is within > the south circular, we will be in the ULEZ, so I > don't think we will be the dumping zone, that > would be Forest Hill. Phase 1 is for just the congestion charge zone, but you're right it then will be the whole of East Dulwich..

rollflick Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > At least Zipcar offer residents a handy way to > avoid the ULEZ charge, such as if you need to pick > something up, and the money they pay for their > permits goes to road repairs etc. It's great > they're giving people the option of electric cars > without the cost of buying them. Electric Zipcars? I thought they were all small engine diesel VW Golfs?

It has been 2hrs for as long as I can remember. There was a discussion in April about this topic too. http://www.eastdulwichforum.co.uk/forum/read.php?5,1916712,1916712#msg-1916712

Just a side note to say that if the visitor has a contactless credit/debit card then they will never pay more than a daily OR WEEKLY travelcard. I switched from Oyster to contactless because of this.

Sing and Sign at the pottery cafe on East Dulwich Road (https://www.singandsign.co.uk/classes/classes-near-you/southwark).

fishbiscuits Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > Do you not get fake ?10 notes too? The new plastic notes are both much harder to forge and as they're lower value it's less worthwhile to attempt it.

You can buy bank note tester pens for a couple of pounds on Amazon. If you have a central 'bank' then you can also use UV lights to check but they're probably too expensive for every stall holder.

Bluinnovations19 Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > I recommend luke at lrb electrics 07365430713 or > allan Chivers, used them before for there services Since your only four posts on the forum have been variants of this recommendation, do you happen to be connected with Luke or Allen?

Just to clarify I'm not against old houses, I grew up in a Victorian house and live in a Victorian house now. Of course they can be improved and you can make them much more thermally efficient. What I was saying is that if you are building new buildings now, using "real brick" in place of more modern construction methods isn't sensible either from an environmental or cost point of view.