8 June

[jaywalker]

Oh God, Prof. Curtice now saying it could be anywhere from hung parliament to 80 Tory Majority .....

No!

[red devil]

He must've factored in the first two returns which went against the exit poll and in favour of the Tories in terms of swing. But they were 2 NE seats, UKIP crashed, that doesn't mean it will be replicated everywhere. It might be an election full of surprises with no general trend. Labour taking Amber Rudd's seat in Hastings being one such surprise...

[Robert Poste's Child]

Not a surprise in Hastings as they hate her.

[red devil]

Can't argue with that :)

Tories hold Swindon North but swing to Labour more than exit poll...

[leminks]

i like it

Lordship 516 Wrote:

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> June sees the end of May..!

I ad - the house always wins

[jaywalker]

Yes, most recent results suggest exit poll correct. More than expected to Tories in Ruritanian North, but more to Labour in Enlightened South.

Hung Parliament, and YouGov shares rising sharply.

May out, Rudd defeated. A little bit unclear what will happen next (although brexit = brexit is now proved false).

[jaywalker]

At this point looks like Cons will not get majority. Hung parliament. Clarke talking cross-party. Looks like Gummer (May's choice for Brexit talks after she sidelined Davies) will lose his seat.

[jaywalker]

Looks like even Kensington will fall to Labour.

[miga]

Who'd a thunk it, turns out when Labour does Labour things, people vote for them.

[JoeLeg]

I'm amazed. I really didn't think politics could surprise me like that anymore. I was very wrong, just didn't think the youth vote could mobilise itself like that. Well, there we are.

We live in interesting times.

[????]

Me too.

I had thought the best results was a big majority for the Tories because I felt that would mean Brexit negotiations would be hardball but I agree with Jaywalker this brings Brexit back in play as an issue.

Corbyn's campaign was absolutely brilliant but I still think his policies would/will be a disaster for this country so am very glad no majority and Tories still biggest party.

Surprisingly upbeat about this result as feels like most people are really in the middle ground and Tories moving into UKIP territory now surely buried.

Finally had a bet on Labour to get 250+ seats at the beginning of campaign at 3 figure odds so big pay out :)

[JoeLeg]

Yes, I'm ecstatic at the UKIP collapse. And I agree it's a recognition of where this country is politically; I hope Westminster recognises this and tries to work towards consensus and stops playing sections of society off against each other.

At this risk of being trite, there is more that unites us than divides us.

[nxjen]

I'm feeling disproportionately happy at the results but will this mean another Con/LibDem coalition which will give a working majority to whoever is the Tory PM?

[Alan Medic]

May has no intention of resigning supposedly.

[nxjen]

Hmmm, we'll see

[miga]

I'm hopeful we now won't get the full metal Brexit only a handful of nutters ever wanted.

[Seabag]

Ok, so how long before another election ?

[Jules-and-Boo]

May will go. She might say she won't but she has a reputation for changing her mind.

[JoeLeg]

Seabag Wrote:

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> Ok, so how long before another election ?

Five years. None of the other parties will agree to an early election, the prospect of screwing the Tories in that time is too good.

May had managed to fuck her own party and hang onto her job. That kind of says it all to me.

[Louisa]

Mayhem. Literally.

Tory arrogance at calling election for some personal coronation backfires. Realignment of electorate on Brexit voting grounds, compounded by a decent Labour campaign. It seems Scotland has ironically saved May from immediate resignation, snap election within months. DUP To back her in meantime.

1974 all over again, election by October. Single market back on table.

Louisa.

[miga]

She made the right call based on the information she had - I saw it as a classic display of power, like when Germany are up 4:0 against Brazil and still going for it. It was meant to give Tories power for decades.

[rendelharris]

Amusing that the party which set itself up as being the stable alternative to chaos has twice in a year gambled on an unnecessary poll and had it blow up in their faces.

Suspect no second election in the near future, but can't see May hanging on for long with Boris and others licking their chops on the sidelines (which is why no second election, May is an absolute lame duck but any new leader would want time to consolidate and to let any charges of disloyalty fade). But the only predictable thing about the future these days is that it's unpredictable!

[JoeLeg]

They won't be an early election, because the Fixed Term Parliaments Act means that she needs the Commons to vote for it. The other parties aren't going to let her off the hook, not when they can spend 5 years kicking them at every opportunity.

The DUP won't want to give up their kingmaker position either. We're stuck with this for five years.

[JoeLeg]

miga Wrote:

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> She made the right call based on the information

> she had - I saw it as a classic display of power,

> like when Germany are up 4:0 against Brazil and

> still going for it. It was meant to give Tories

> power for decades.

I agree, admit that I thought they were going to give Labour a kicking. But it turned out different.

[Alan Medic]

'Ol Boris was very evasive when asked if he still supported May. "It's early days yet" probably translates into No.