8 June

[titch juicy]

Borky Wrote:

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> Well its bollocks isn't it. we are a pitiful

> shithole of a country , seemingly entirely

> populated by miserable keyboard warriors with

> hypertension and erectile problems and utterly

> furious about everything. I am looking forward to

> the breakup of this construct of artifice so

> called UK and the resultant civil war that will

> likely lead to the easing of pressure on the NHS

> as a massive swathe of red faced over 50s are

> removed from the demographic.London will daclare

> itself a Britcity1, build a wall along the M25 and

> the rest of so called ingerland will resemble the

> cursed earth.

>

> good morning

Haha!

[titch juicy]

Some tiny encouraging signs this morning at work. Means nothing in the bigger picture but made me smile.

Our Director of Economic Research (worth noting that I work for a $280bn asset manager) is voting Labour as he can't stand the thought of a one party nation and a girl who is the under 30s Conservative representative for her constituency, is voting against the party and voting Labour (reasons: sick of not being listened to in the party, tuition fees, national security).

[DulwichFox]

Sue Wrote:

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> jaywalker Wrote:

> ----------------------------

>

> Helen Hayes is a bloody good MP.

>

>

> Agreed.

Do not know much about her. Never heard of her until the Silvester Road issue.

Seems an approachable pleasant person.

I would vote for her on a Local basis but despite being a Labour supporter all my life

and a former paid up member of the Dulwich branch of the Labour Party, I cannot bring

myself to vote for Labour with Jeromy Corbyn at the helm.

Corbyn is a conceited , self opinionated arse who refuses to listen to the views of others.

I would think he must be a very difficult person to work with.

DulwichFox

[JoeLeg]

You know what Borky? That's not the worst plan I've ever heard, let's give it a try!

(Sorry to hear about your erectile issues)

[titch juicy]

DulwichFox Wrote:

-------------------------------------------------------

> Sue Wrote:

> --------------------------------------------------

> -----

> > jaywalker Wrote:

> > ----------------------------

> >

> > Helen Hayes is a bloody good MP.

> >

> >

> > Agreed.

>

>

> Do not know much about her. Never heard of her

> until the Silvester Road issue.

> Seems an approachable pleasant person.

>

> I would vote for her on a Local basis but despite

> being a Labour supporter all my life

> and a former paid up member of the Dulwich branch

> of the Labour Party, I cannot bring

> myself to vote for Labour with Jeromy Corbyn at

> the helm.

>

> Corbyn is a conceited , self opinionated arse who

> refuses to listen to the views of others.

> I would think he must be a very difficult person

> to work with.

>

> DulwichFox

I have similar views about Corbyn Foxy. However; my view is that there's no way Labour will get a majority and the best we can hope for is a hung parliament, which may well mean a coalition involving some very competent MPs that may be able to exert influence.

[Borky]

lets nuke ourselves and do the world a favour.

You utter coward Corbyn, give us a straight answer on this - would you nuke the country and ease our suffering ? its what the people want. They have spoken.

Nuclear winter means nuclear winter, A red white and blue self inflicted Armageddon. let us be clear on this.

[JohnL]

Labour canvassers seem to think they're in trouble in the swing seats :(

Also don't they open the postal votes - remember reading something about it in 2015

[Louisa]

Right let's get some outcome predictions in.

Being long in the tooth, seen all this before, I'm going for a Tory majority of somewhere between 40 and 60, despite all the usual bluster and talk of some massive Labour revival. Youngsters won't turn out in large enough numbers, the blue rinse brigade will turn out and revert to form, forgetting about the 'dementia tax' stuff.

Anyone who wants to find out what's really going on, take a look at any of the major betting sites.

Louisa.

[Borky]

You know how bookies work yes ?

[Louisa]

Majority of bookmakers have predicted the largest party in EVERY election since 1974, so yes. I do.

Louisa.

[Borky]

Obviously you do not.

[JohnL]

Maybe it's time to allow voting from PC, iPad and PS4s/Xbox and the like.

[titch juicy]

Louisa Wrote:

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"....the blue rinse brigade will turn out and revert to form,

forgetting about the 'dementia tax' stuff"

Excellent!!

[Jules-and-Boo]

voting via X-box seems fitting.

[JohnL]

Well I didn't vote in 2015 but I'm voting this time - just behind my flat, closer than the pub.

I remember sitting in the Montpelier when that exit poll came in and knowing it was all over for EdM straight away.

[Louisa]

Borky Wrote:

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> Obviously you do not.

Obviously I do, people who place bets are prepared to put their money where their mouth is, it's not about a bunch of pollsters making predictions from tiny samples with great margins of error.

Louisa.

[Borky]

Your conflation over 3 posts confirms you do not understand.

[robbin]

Each of you middle class lefties and keyboard warriors should put your money where your mouth is. I'm particularly talking about those of you who over the last few days have been whipping yourselves into something resembling teenage schoolboy arousal about the 'closing' of the gap in the polls.

[robbin]

As well as those of you who have spent the last year slagging off Jezza and now appear to have had a road to Damascus moment about him and are praying he becomes PM.

[Louisa]

Borky Wrote:

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> Your conflation over 3 posts confirms you do not

> understand.

I do understand, you do not. Have I made myself clear yet?

Louisa.

[robbin]

I'm going to lose sleep saying this, as it's you Louisa, but I think you have made yourself clear - Snorky is just being mischievous.

[rendelharris]

Ladbrokes were offering 3/1 on Trump and 1/5 on Clinton the day of the US election, and 3/1 on Brexit with Remain odds-on, so they're not always the best indicators.

[robbin]

They are definitely not always good indicators.

[JohnL]

robbin Wrote:

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> Each of you middle class lefties and keyboard

> warriors should put your money where your mouth

> is. I'm particularly talking about those of you

> who over the last few days have been whipping

> yourselves into something resembling teenage

> schoolboy arousal about the 'closing' of the gap

> in the polls.

It's more getting rid of May I think - The NYT says what fits with many peoples view - that May is quite horrible.

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/06/05/opinion/jeremy-corbyn-theresa-may-britain-election-brexit.html?mcubz=2

[BrandNewGuy]

rendelharris Wrote:

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> Ladbrokes were offering 3/1 on Trump and 1/5 on

> Clinton the day of the US election, and 3/1 on

> Brexit with Remain odds-on, so they're not always

> the best indicators.

Indeed. Odds follow the money, not the chances of something happening. When punters piled money into a Clinton victory, the odds shortened. I remember the Tyson-Bruno fight in Vegas back in the pre-internet days. Bruno's odds in the UK were ridiculously short, while all the Bruno fans going to Vegas for the fight waited till they got there to put their money on him at ? justifiably ? much longer odds.