
robbin
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Everything posted by robbin
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Another deluded fool! (Verhofstadt, not Corbyn) Oh, er, hold on...
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I reckon that if someone made comments as deliberately inflammatory as Ken's but about black people, the left would be falling over themselves to call them racist (and quite rightly so, in my view). It's amazing how many apologists there are out there when it comes to anti Semitism. There's also double standards - for example, some of the apologists for anti semitism would be the first to say how awful it is that Brexit has caused an upsurge in overt racism and wouldn't seem to recognise there was any sort of a contradiction there.
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JohnL Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > Actually I'd put the score at > > EU-27 2 UK 0 > > at the moment > > Goal 1: The attempt by TM to link security to > trade as an own goal > Goal 2: The obvious dummy over Gibraltar which has > now been brought and no doubt counts as a > concession How about (1) Angel Merkel unequivocally stating EU will not even start trade negotiations until all agreements concluded on 'disentangling' and the blackmail money paid. Then 48 hours later the EU backs down and dilutes this to a position of no trade negotiations until 'sufficient progress' made on disentangling. Potentially very different. Clearly a deliberately different form of words and position. Mentioning security is an obvious point - why is that an 'own goal'. That's absurd. It is something the UK brings to the table and the EU knows it. It's been put out there, then backed away from. That's negotiation - the position has been planted and will be borne in mind as we go forward. In a similar vein, why is stating that if we come out of Europol there might be consequences 'blackmail', but it's not 'blackmail' for the EU to say pay us 50 billion in cash or we won't even discuss trade? Get real, seriously. It's negotiation and posturing - get over it, or at least recognise it for what it is! As someone who negotiates for a living, I would respectfully suggest that you shouldn't get too excited about things said one day to the next, particularly as its a 2 year (probably far longer) process and it hasn't even started yet. Also there are so many individuals playing to the cameras and their own constituents and varied agendas that you have to expect all sorts of stuff to be said.
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rendelharris Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > Why is that such crap, Robbin? in November the > Office for Budget Responsibility published its > estimate that the government would have to borrow > exactly that figure - ?58.7BN - to cover the costs > of leaving the EU. You can disagree with that by > all means but you can't just dismiss it, it's not > some figure pulled out of the air. Note also that > the prediction was just to cover the negative > economic effects and doesn't include any "divorce > settlement" payments, which most experts seem to > be agreeing will end up somewhere between > ?20-?40BN. Well, for various reasons - principally because the bus message is just the latest in another bit of misleading cherry picking of figures that is misleading because it is one side of an equation (and let's face it you don't get much from just one side of an equation). By this, I mean "the cost of" (on the bus) clearly implies that is the actual cost - whereas it is in truth more like just the liability - not the liability less the savings/benefit. The annual net saving to the UK (saving of net contributions - i.e. after rebate and payments back in subsidies, grants etc.) will be between about 5.3 billion and 9 billion (the 5.3 billion being the Remain camp's worst case scenario, the 9 billion being the OBR's upper end figure). Within a decade that mounts up to a lot of saving to set off against the 'cost'. All I'm saying is you can't just ignore the savings and talk of the costs (well, you can, but that's hardly going to lead to an intelligent or informed debate). But then I'm sure the bus message is meant to shock and fool the unwary. In addition, while you are perfectly correct to point out that the OBR estimated this gross expense in November 2016, it quite fairly noted it was an unusually uncertain estimate. It also noted it was based on (what turned out to be overly pessimistic) forecasts for GDP growth which have, since then been very substantially bettered. It was also out on inflation forecasts. I'm not saying the OBR figure is nonsense, or that the economic outlook might reverse and go downhill. These are uncertain times. Many would not have predicted the economy would be so strong as it has been since June 2016 (many on here are, it seems, willing things to go the other way - which I find really odd and quite depressing, as we are all in this together). Mind you, some of those people still probably cling to the view they previously excitedly espoused on here that Jeremy Corbyn was the future (you know, a bit like phone cards). They were way out on that too. What I am saying is that the painting of one figure on the side of a bus (which is plainly not the actual cost, when everything is taken into account) is crap. It is as misleading as the other ridiculous bus message from the Leave campaign in June. So no, I don't dismiss the OBR figure out of hand. I prefer to look at it in its proper perspective and ascribe to it its true meaning. It's the bus message I was commenting on.
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What a load of crap! That's even more misleading than Boris' bus (and that's saying something). I'm refraining from posting on this thread because there's no point - several people here are desperate to see an economic disaster unfold and will be terribly disappointed if the destruction of their own country doesn't come to pass. Others will simply pick and choose whatever they want (or failing that, simply make stuff up) - no balance. But the bus pic is in a different category - just plain daft!
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If you painted a face on it, it would resemble Jean Claude Junker after lunch.
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Louisa Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > Reality of the unknown, voted for by me and others > like me, becomes ever clearer. We still have our > membership card for a while, but the captain and > crew are helping us pack up our little survival > kit into our small lifeboat- preparing to sail off > into the big wide ocean. I hope when we finally > are caste adrift we don't encounter too many > storms, because this little boat we are preparing > feels kinda knackered, seen better days. Gulp. > > Louisa. What, the fact there might be some uncertainty or upheaval never occurred to you before you voted leave? I know you sometimes like to be a bit of a wind up merchant, but I don't believe you are that na?ve or that ignorant - quite the contrary. Are you secretly wishing you had the courage of your convictions - rather than immediately giving in to all the hysteria in the bubble (the EDF being a bubble within that bubble)? Now, it turns out that almost every disaster that had been predicted has not materialised and in fact the markets and economy generally have improved since the referendum. No emergency budget (within a month) with massive tax rises, no crashing property market, no third world war - and before the usual suspects jump in with 'the pound has crashed' exaggeration, it is true there has been a significant reduction in what was a rather over-valued pound, but that cuts both ways as we are seeing - sure there's a potential inflationary downside in the short to medium term particularly, but there's also major benefits - a substantial increase in tourism, hotels sold out, restaurants busy, local businesses in London busier, exporters doing way better than before. I'm not saying it is all going to be roses, but so far so good (albeit we have not left yet - obviously I just mean in comparison to the ridiculous scaremongering scenarios predicted for this stage) and there may well be as many opportunities as threats. It's just going to be different. It's neither one or the other, black or white, good or bad - its a very complex combination of good and bad. It's bound to be difficult and painful at times and/or in some respects, but in others it is likely to be better. There's only one thing I am confident about, which is that those who constantly complain about the referendum result are not going to help matters moving forward and will only make themselves miserable. You are not getting another referendum - time to look back, recognise that you were bombarded with lies about looming disaster (just as you were with lies the other way about 350m for the NHS) and try to get some perspective. If you are still buying-in to the messages from those same people (the Osborne types) who have now been proved to have been completely wrong and/or lying, then you need to have a word with yourself because you are still being taken in. I'm not suggesting you strap on rose tinted goggles, but be very wary of the messages of doom coming from people who have been proved wrong (and not just a bit wrong) already. If, by the way you do still believe what that well known newspaper editor George Osborne (and his ilk) say about Brexit, then I have some swampland in Florida that's going for a really good price - the market's just about to take off - get in quick!
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Yes, but Juncker is a deluded old geezer who is way past his sell by date. It may be correct that the EU has been blamed for (some) of Britain's ills that it had no part in, but he's just trying to distract from the obvious point that in a haze (whether of booze or smug overconfidence, makes no difference) he's led the EU down the wrong road of being a federalised super-state, without the member states being capable of being joined together in that way (at least in the foreseeable future) and without the proper informed consent of their populations. It might suit one or two member states, but that's it. He balls'd it up as much as anyone else by sticking two fingers up at Cameron (with Cameron's ridiculous two day 're-negotiation') which sent a loud message to the electorate here that we could go and swivel so far as the unelected EU leadership were concerned! The backlash to that and his other policies was Brexit. I didn't particularly want Brexit (although I never believed the scare stories about the sky falling in), but I reckon its pretty obvious that old arrogant alleged p*ss-head played a major role in our departure from his version of the EU. I reckon he has quite a bit to answer for - he's done the EU no favours and ought to have had the self awareness and decency to resign after the Brexit vote, given the seriousness of his failure. But, given he's not accountable to any electorate, I suppose it's no surprise he's decided that's not a course he needs to take. Therein may lie a clue to part of the problem.
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Maybe someone should start a petition?
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Ha ha ha! You do know there was a referendum on this? Last year.
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ianr Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > rendelharris Wrote: > ------------------- > > One thing in favour of the householder is that > > anyone convicted of a crime such as attempted > > illegal entry would have to ask the convicting > > court for permission to sue the householder for > > the damages incurred in the commission, > permission > > which would be most unlikely to be forthcoming. > > Where does that remarkable provision reside? It's in the 2003 CJA but it only addresses situations such as self defence (i.e. when a crime is being or just about to be committed - not really applicable to putting glass or nails on a wall). The Occupiers Liability Act 1984 is the one which provides for the duty of care to trespassers (the 1957 OLA being concerned with lawful visitors).
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Violent Mugging in East Dulwich (March 2nd 2017)
robbin replied to andrewfinch1994's topic in General ED Issues / Gossip
Quite right! All this armchair warrior nonsense should be ignored - it could easily get you maimed or killed. I mean, hair spray, in a fight with four muggers coming at you - really?!! You might get one - if you are lucky. Then his three mates would mess you up for it. But, you probably wouldn't even get one of them. The effective 'range' of a can of hairspray is a few inches before it disperses too much and that's before you even start to factor in any breeze, which, by the way may just end up blowing it into your own face! Oh, and you need time to get it out, get the top off and check in the dark to see which direction the nozzle is pointing in! By then you would be picking your teeth up off the floor. As for carrying a knife - get a life! -
Xoco grill - closed for good - Memsaab now open...
robbin replied to Abe_froeman's topic in General ED Issues / Gossip
Or a variation is to set up a straw man - say someone said something or holds a point of view (which they never did) and roundly criticise them for it! Doesn't matter they never said it - what you said they said is so wrong, they must be wrong. Right? -
Xoco grill - closed for good - Memsaab now open...
robbin replied to Abe_froeman's topic in General ED Issues / Gossip
Exactly. But someone has been wiretapping somewhere - its a disgrace - and other stuff is like wiretapping anyway. -
Xoco grill - closed for good - Memsaab now open...
robbin replied to Abe_froeman's topic in General ED Issues / Gossip
It's the rise of fake information. Just say something false, then keep saying it until it gets repeated and starts to gain credence. If someone points out it's false, then just switch tack and say something like "well whoever is charging ?7.50 wherever they are..." as if what you are saying is not false (somewhere) - therefore trying to leave the impression it's not 'really' false! -
Oh, Louisa! Maybe leave the keyboard alone after 7pm?
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Louisa Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > robbin Wrote: > -------------------------------------------------- > ----- > > I'm definitely going to keep going there now I > > know there's no danger of hearing Louisa > moaning > > in the background! > > > > I've been to Peckham - good if you like mobile > > phones ringing, people talking, teenagers > > swearing, uncomfortable seats and sticky > carpets. > > A few quid cheaper though and close to > McDonalds > > if that's what floats your boat. I'm happy > with > > Oddono's. Each to their own. > > Don't think anyone associates any of the above > with the cinema in Peckham, but hey some people > like to think they're better than everyone else by > going to a poncy cinema and poncy ice cream shop > so they can feel good about themselves. And guess > what, that's fine too! Just admit, rather than > putting down people who might want to save a few > quid rather than waste it on trying to be seen > spending money. Very absurd behaviour. > > Louisa. Brilliant! Quite brilliant!
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Louisa Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > I think we should build a wall around ED and keep > all the bullshit out. > > Make #makeEDshitfreeagain > > Louisa. Give us a shout next time you are on holiday and we can make a start on the wall.
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Violent Mugging in East Dulwich (March 2nd 2017)
robbin replied to andrewfinch1994's topic in General ED Issues / Gossip
Maybe think twice before following that advice if you are wearing heels or trainers! Or start wearing steel capped work boots about town. -
Mick Mac Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > I like that Robbin > > I went to the opening Saturday night of the ED > Picturehouse a year or two ago. I thought I was in > the Almeida or the Donmar, with so many blazers > and corduroy around. > > That was a bit much, but there's no reason why > cinema has to be watched in the terrible > surroundings that exist in some cinemas. > > The Plex is great value, but I'd prefer to spend > the extra 5 pound. Agreed - I did too and it was certainly that type of crowd, but not since then has it been like that in my experience as a regular. It's a way better experience than Peckham (for me) so well worth a few more quid - and yes, 5 or 8 quid is a few quid. I can even park close by and have a nice warm dry journey home in the car (after oddonos, of course).
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I'm definitely going to keep going there now I know there's no danger of hearing Louisa moaning in the background! I've been to Peckham - good if you like mobile phones ringing, people talking, teenagers swearing, uncomfortable seats and sticky carpets. A few quid cheaper though and close to McDonalds if that's what floats your boat. I'm happy with Oddono's. Each to their own.
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Violent Mugging in East Dulwich (March 2nd 2017)
robbin replied to andrewfinch1994's topic in General ED Issues / Gossip
KK - sounds like you have never been attacked and robbed by a gang. All I can say is those thoughts helped me to feel better. You can analyse it in the cold light of day if you want, but it made me feel better to think the gang that attacked me were a bunch of losers. When I saw their previous and time spent in prison for other crimes, it was pretty clear they were indeed losers. Just my opinion and experience though. Btw I never said they were interested in showing how tough they are. Not sure how you think a group of 4 people attacking one person is not inherently cowardly, but you are entitled to your opinion. Anyway, this thread is about Andrew, I hope he finds relief in whatever way works for him and I hope this lot get caught before there are many more victims in our neighbourhood. -
Violent Mugging in East Dulwich (March 2nd 2017)
robbin replied to andrewfinch1994's topic in General ED Issues / Gossip
KK - Apart from possibly being illegal, carrying a 'tool' is far more likely to result in you getting killed or seriously hurt. If it's 4 people and its fast moving with shock tactics like this was (which is how it often is - it was when I was mugged years ago) unless you are highly skilled and trained to react appropriately, you are very likely to come off far worse. It is very tempting and understandable to think you would be better off tooling up, but you really are not. You don't get time to think or prepare in a situation like this - they try to make sure of that. Andrew, I'm so sorry this happened to you and hope the filth get caught. I was edgy when out walking at night, for quite some time after it happened to me, but it does pass, as does the anger and resentment. I found it makes it easier to remember that they are losers and live what must be miserable lives, most likely with no future, while you are so much better and your future will be full of good things they will never experience. They are also cowards, probably with very low self esteem - there's a reason they only attack people in a pack and by surprise - let's face it, 4 to 1 is hardly tough or brave on their part.
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