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???? Wrote:

-------------------------------------------------------

> So, to a degree, suggests that the Lounge,

> uniquely, is on the slide....



Perhaps just plateauing, here's another one with a 60 day moving average trendline*

visitors3.gif


*I don't know if that's the right one to use but it looks ok.

I don't know whether the Lounge is on the slide or not - I don't think that's right in 'real' terms.


I'm surprised it kept its end up - until the split all the family discussion stuff and drawing room stuff went in the lounge.


Since these two added together are half of Lounge's overall traffic, I'd have expected to see the Lounge halve in size if it didn't attract new and growing audiences.


So for me the Lounge 'plateau' actually represents a doubling in size!

Very valid point Huguenot, you can see the Lounge traffic dip in July last year when the other rooms were created.


Sorry Keef, the stats come from Google Analytics which measures general website traffic it can't work out individual's actions from the forum's database. Unspecifically I can tell you though that your posts have gone from 'a lot' to 'not as many'.

Mark Wrote:

-------------------------------------------------------

> Perhaps just plateauing, here's another one with a

> 60 day moving average trendline*

> ...

> *I don't know if that's the right one to use but

> it looks ok.


That is not right. A 60-day simple moving average should be applied after zero values are removed from the time series (e.g. the first chart).


The second chart looks like an IPCC data manipulation 'trick' was applied to produce an EDF version of the ?hockey stick graph? :)


Interesting post nevertheless - thanks.

I don't think in general 60 days averages should remove zero values - but it should in this case as it was 'suspension' not audience activity that caused it.


But either way HAL, I've made the mental leap to remove the suspension from the graph and I'm not paying attention to the apparent rise in the last two month average data.


It's clear that activity remanined fairly consistent across the last 6 months, which means that activity must have increased on non family and non Drawing Room material to compensate for the appearance of those sections.


That's why I'm saying the Lounge is even more successful now than it was in the past.


Mind you, all these graphs feel a bit like looking in the loo after you've done a whoopsie ;-)

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