alex_b
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Everything posted by alex_b
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If you?ve reported it to the police abs your insurers then leave them to deal with it. Sainsbury?s aren?t going to say anything to you which there are potential civil and criminal cases ongoing.
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I was comparing your definitions of Traditional Working Class in places like Hartlepool vs the Metro Socialists you seem to think are behind Labour in the cities. Comparing national averages which include the affluent Tory shires doesn't seem meaningful if we're trying to look at potentially different definitions of working class. I'm not sure which statistics you've been checking, but comparing Hartlepool to the constituency for East Dulwich using Parliamentary data I don't think the numbers back up your claim. The Commons Library have pulled the income data from the web due to the pandemic making the data unreliable, if you have a good source of comparative data for this please do share. Looking at Housing Tenure (https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/constituency-data-housing-tenure/#single_constituency): Hartlepool: Owner occupied 59.8% Social renters 23.5% Dulwich and West Norwood: Owner occupied 41.1% Social renters 32.4% National average: Owner occupied 63.5% Social renters 18.2% Looking at age (https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/constituency-statistics-population-by-age/#single_constituency) Hartlepool: 50-90 40.3% 65-90 19.4% Dulwich and West Norwood: 50-90 26.2% 65-90 9.7% National average: 50-90 37.7% 65-90 18.4% Finally looking at Ethnicity (https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/constituency-statistics-ethnicity/#single_constituency): Hartlepool: White 97.7% Dulwich and West Norwood: White 59.4% National average: White 87.2%
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Has she tried calling Peckham Islamic Centre?
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TheCat Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > > Just catching up with the London mayoral election > result detail....and seems like the above doesn't > really jell with sadiq having his margin cut in > london. > > Yes, he won handsomely, but the swing away from > him (and to a candidate who basically had his > funding slashed from Tory HQ a month out from the > elections) suggests there may be more to it for > Labour than just a redistrbution of demographics > as discussed above (of course this clearly is a > key driver as well).... I don?t think the Mayoral election tells us much either way. Looking at the percentages in the first round it appears that Bailey benefited from a collapse in the UKIP vote and Labour lost some vote share to the Greens. The second round shift seems similar to the reduction in share for the incumbent under both Johnson and Livingstone. Also, yes Bailey was a terrible candidate but so was Goldsmith. That?s not to say I?m a big fan of Khan?s, I?m pretty ambivalent and he didn?t get my first preference.
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Loutwo Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > It?s simple. Labour is appeasing two camps. Metro > socialists and traditional working classes. Metro > socialists are over represented at parliamentary > level, and a perception (rightly or wrongly) has > festered in the mind?s of some of those > traditional old industrial communities, that > Labour doesn?t represent their opinions anymore. This interestingly exposes the definitional flaw at the heart of the discussion here. "Traditional working classes" as used here seems to include a large groups of people who do not work (retired homeowners on defined benefit pensions in the towns of the North and Midlands) while excluding large groups who do work (younger people in larger cities - including London - often in unstable employment). It just so happens that the 'traditional working class' are white while those working in cities who don't count as working class tend to be more diverse. So when the media talks about Labour losing touch with 'working people' what they mean is losing touch with older socially conservative white people who once worked. There is little evidence that I have seen that Labour is losing support amongst younger working voters (in fact I believe their share of vote amongst under 40s is increasing). Of course electorally this is a huge problem for Labour and will get worse as red-wall type seats continue to age and depopulate. I don't know what Labour do about this, it seems tough to think they can out socially conservative the Tories as Louisa seems to suggest.
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Dulwich Hamlets - any information good or bad?
alex_b replied to amlh's topic in The Family Room Discussion
Dulwich Hamlets is very well regarded. The old head also set up The Belham which also has a strong reputation. Both schools just joined the Charter School trust with the ED and ND Charter Schools. -
Advice needed - kids holiday course - payment issues
alex_b replied to olya's topic in The Family Room Discussion
I believe that contract was frustrated (as it legally couldn?t take place) and therefore you were due a full refund regardless of the contractual terms. There?s been quite a lot of coverage of this issue around holidays if you Google it. Did you pay on a credit or debit card? If so I?d go to your card issuer once you?ve been told in writing that they won?t refund you. Card providers tend to side with their customers as they don?t want the hassle. Following that you?d have to make a small claims via Money Claims Online. It?s ?70 to actually file it, but you can fill in the claim online and then print that out with a covering letter saying you?ll file it if you don?t get a refund, that often focusses the mind of companies. -
Nigello Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > Fast food culture + ubiquitous snacking x > littering = rodent heaven I haven?t noticed much litter on Cox?s walk though.
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MikeB - agreed I?ve never seen so many rats while running compared to the last month or so. Seems to be a population explosion.
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I think this is a brilliant article that might remind us of the veracity of some of the Northern reporting https://thecritic.co.uk/the-woodfired-brick-wall/
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Traffic fines around Dulwich village - has anyone appealed successfully
alex_b replied to Naiada's topic in Roads & Transport
roxie99 Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > good idea! ?1000 fine if caught. -
roywj Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > Saw a black SUV (think it was a VW) driving down > Burbage Road towards Half Moon Lane with half the > number plate covered in gaffer tape around 9.05am > this morning. > > I wonder if anyone looks at the camera footage and > realises this is happening to avoid the closure? > If it is all automated probably not. If an ANPR system gets a partial read it will be flagged for a human to review. Who knows if the Southwark system does colour or vehicle type matching too but I?ve seen systems that can do this to check for dodgy plates. Whether Southwark or the Police have the resources to then track the vehicle with an obscured licence plate is another question, personally I hope so.
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Traffic fines around Dulwich village - has anyone appealed successfully
alex_b replied to Naiada's topic in Roads & Transport
roywj Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > Saw a SUV with gaffer tape over half of the number > plate this morning driving down Burbage Road. > Wonder if cameras are checked for this sort of > thing? But of course the fines are because motorists are confused... -
We?ve had critter solutions in to put down the grain poison traps that work brilliantly. In the past we?ve used the child safe big cheese traps which are ok, but not completely effective.
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I don?t disagree with j.a. although I do wonder what Labour could do to cut through to voters in the North and Midlands? The fact that Angela Rayner is seen as part of the liberal elite while Jacob Rees-Mogg isn?t speaks volumes about the challenges Labour has faced post-Brexit. I think the country has tacked distinctly rightward and towards a nationalist position, I?m not sure how Labour addresses that. There are also three structural problems Labour need to overcome. First, Labour voters are more concentrated that Tory voters (therefore leading to fewer seats per million voters). Second, Nationalist parties (and to an extent the Lib Dmes) block any route to a Labour majority as England has an inbuilt Tory majority. Third, the evaporation of BXP/UKIP/etc has United the vote on the right while the centre/left remains fragmented.
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Bicknell Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > agree with replacing planters at dulwich vllg > junction with cameras @exdulwicher, so does london > ambulance. trouble is that southwark isnt that > keen on any changes to its experimental orders But there are currently 6 different threads complaining about people being fined because of camera controlled closures. If they switch to cameras the anti-LTN folk will be disingenuously claiming its a money raising exercise.
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How much screen time should I let my child have
alex_b replied to mummyparvizi's topic in The Family Room Discussion
We go back and forth with our 7 year old (and did when he was younger too). While his behaviour is fine we?re pretty relaxed about it, but sometime he?ll need an extended break. We also monitor what causes issues and block those shows/apps in future. -
How long to get a date for 2nd vaccine? *Update*
alex_b replied to wee quinnie's topic in General ED Issues / Gossip
I became eligible for my first vaccine today. Booked at Guys for next Tuesday. The NHS website also booked me for my second vaccine on the 20th July (11 weeks). -
alice Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > Interesting stats but am wondering whether, as > bike journeys are 1% of vehicular miles, then when > casualty numbers are adjusted the results are > quite different. Is that passenger mile figure from London or does it include motorway miles which would skew the figure? The numbers I could find for London (http://content.tfl.gov.uk/travel-in-london-report-12.pdf Table 2.2) was 6.2m car journeys a day (driver trips plus taxis) vs 700k cycle journeys. So even on a journey adjusted basis collisions involving cars have 4 times more injuries and fatalities than collisions involving cyclists. I think this is straining what these data can tell us, but I can find any evidence that cyclists are more dangerous to pedestrians than cars as was claimed.
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Jakido Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > This data doesn?t show who ?caused? an accident, > just what other vehicle was involved, eg if a > drunk car driver crashed into a stationary bus and > was injured, the bus would be the other vehicle. Good point I phrased that poorly. What it does is put an upper bound on the cause numbers. 40 pedestrians were killed in 2019 having been hit by a car, two people were killed after a collision with a cyclist.
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Brixtwich Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > That is absolute nonsense. Cyclists are much more > dangerous to pedestrians at the moment, they don't > give a monkeys and never get fined. At least car > drivers are accountable. In what way are car drivers really accountable. I see drivers using hand held mobiles every time I?m out, absolutely zero enforcement. The same with speeding through all the 20 zones around here. As for cyclists being more dangerous. The latest TfL figures are 2019 which showed that in London cars caused 11,911 injuries including 64 fatalities (of which 40 were pedestrians). Cyclists caused 327 injuries including two fatalities. (table 7 https://content.tfl.gov.uk/casualties-in-greater-london-2019.pdf). I?d be amazed if cars had become 40 times safer or cyclists 40 times more dangerous during lockdown.
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I can?t begin to recall the amount of drivers not just in Southwark that can?t be bothered with signals, jumping the lights etc. Not to mention speeding, using mobile phones, ignoring zebra crossings. Then when a few of them get fined for ignoring road closure signs they get all upset across four different forum threads.
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Save the Freedom Pass TFL Travel Pass, Sign The Petition Please
alex_b replied to natty01295's topic in The Lounge
Means testing has been demonstrated time and time again to exclude genuinely qualifying recipients either due to not understanding the qualifications, not wishing to be labelled as qualifying or due to administrative errors. The additional cost of means testing is not insignificant either. As for an honour based system, that already exists - you?re not forced to apply for a card nor are you obliged to use a card for all journeys. -
I?d also suggest a concrete base to prevent foxes.
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Kaa Wrote: ------------------------------------------------------- > I paid 40 quid early March and still no sticker. > Post (Royal Mail) arrive daily, so I blame > Southwark Council, very very unhappy with them, > Labour is not getting my vote this May. It isn?t a council election this May, just mayor and assembly.
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