The off the leash nutters will be dealt with soon enough. They're useful idiots for the baathists in sunni iraq, but i can't see them making the same mistake's as they did in 2006. Plus those nutters are more intertested in toppling the house of Saud (oh the irony) once they've dealt with the shia, which demographically won't happen either. Short term prognosis for iraq, a nasty prang outside baghdad with a lesser prang on the borders of kurdistan, long term prognosis, 3 iraqs on those lines. How long the fighting lasts depends on how quickly they agree to divvy up the oil fields rather than fight to retain them. Syria, ISIS spending most of its time fighting moderate rebels; uneasy peace in the next year or so between them and gov't, some sort of compromise will ensue, but Assad will stay in power, with perhaps increased autonomy for certain regions. Israel really is a total side issue in this, which works in Israel's favour. Iran and Hamas have had a bit of a falling out, hezbollah are stuck in Syria's civil war and trying to prevent meltdown in Lebanon, and everyone else in the region is too busy, weak and/or paranoid to give this spat a second thought. As DaveR quoted earlier "when i'm strong why should i compromise"