Yeah, I know it's not a startling piece of knowledge, Quids, but I fancied Saf from long ago - although I have no idea how the odds looked then. You have to look at how the groups stack up as well - and the ICC handily made that very predictable with their seedings. If Saf win their group (they have to beat India, which I think they will) they will probably meet NZ in the semi. And I think they have too much game for NZ - similar teams, except Saf have the extra bit of class. I think SL are the biggest danger to Saf because of their spinners, and the top order will put Parnell and Steyn under pressure. That's the final for me - SL v Saf. Either that or India v Saf, with India having done SL in the other semi. One caveat: the very top of the order seem to have come off their peak a bit, but I'm trusting Gibbs to play at least one of his specials in the tournament. Also, as I said, they are supremely rat-faced, which counts for something.