BBC notional indeed has Tories in 2005 as 2nd on 24.5% but the UK Polling Report has Lib Dems in 2nd on 24.1% (with Tories on 22.1%) http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/election2010/results/constituency/b45.stm http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/guide/seat-profiles/dulwichandwestnorwood Looking at the vote count for 97, 01 and 05 - the Conservatives have collected 11,038 (97), 8,689 (01) and 9,200 (05). The Lib Dems on the other hand almost doubled their vote between 2001 and 2005 to come second with 10,252 votes (at the last General Election). I don't think the redrawn constituency map will bring in any new Conservative voters but perhaps Labour has lost a few die hard wards who'd vote Labour even if a horse was the Labour candidate. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dulwich_and_West_Norwood_(UK_Parliament_constituency)